Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 26, 2021

November 26, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Eastern Ocean 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Overdue 10.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Red Storm Risen 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Whooping Jay 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Dubby Dubbie 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Media Blitz 3.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s So Shiny 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 A Paycheque Smile 2.00 8 15-1
2 2 Classical Romance 2.50 8.8 17-1
4 4 Starship Diplomacy 5.00 10.3 19-1
1 1 Blonde Bombshell 12.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Midnight’s Girl 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 So Softly 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Champagne Camie 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Goddessof the Nile 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Darling Donna 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Ayellowroseoftexas 6.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Urban 4.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Gold Dragon Queen 6.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Exactly Wendy 12.00 12.3 23-1
7 7 Silent Beauty 15.00 18.1 34-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Synthesis 1.60 2 4-1
3 3 Betito 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Unbroken Star 5.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Lookin for Revenge 5.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Mongolian Wind 1.80 7.4 14-1
4 4 Secret Touch 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jamming Eddy 8.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Deputy Bernardini 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mac Daddy Too 3.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Clayton Delaney 4.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Rookie Mistake 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Elusive Treat (GB) 6.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Caramelito 10.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Silardi 12.00 11 21-1
2 2 Midnight Special 4.00 15.6 29-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Inch 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 5 Hot Pursuit 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Gator Shining 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Damiano 12.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Honor Among Men 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Gerlach’s 2.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Hawk Hill 12.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hollywood Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Friar’s Road 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Rockemperor (IRE) 1.60 3.2 6-1
5 5 Cupid’s Claws 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Acclimate 4.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Award Winner 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Say the Word 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Astronaut 8.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Quick Finish 4.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 El Tigre Terrible 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Alexander’s Dream 12.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Admirably 3.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Jazz Hands 4.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Squalotoro 5.00 8.7 16-1
7 7 Brace for Impact 8.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Sunrise Journey 8.00 15 28-1
2 2 Bold Voyager 12.00 17.7 33-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Badger Kitten 4.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Suezaaana 30.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Acoustic Shadow 3.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Cliffsofthunder (GB) 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Whistler’s Style 10.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Air Force Woman 6.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Twirling Grace 12.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Bowl of Cherries 6.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Witch Moon 5.00 10 19-1
12 12 Golden Journey 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Magical Wand 20.00 12.1 23-1
6 6 Allison’s Surprise 30.00 20.6 39-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
2nd - 1:03
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Final
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4th - 7:30
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3rd - 6:06
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3rd - 5:14
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3rd - 6:49
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2nd - 0:01
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2nd - 1:10
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1st - 1:42
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