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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 21, 2021

November 21, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Donner Lake 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Rifey 5.00 6.9 13-1
8 7 Self Isolation 6.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Sting Like a Bee 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Irondale 8.00 12.1 23-1
9 8 Suzie Qzz Brother 1.80 12.4 23-1
4 4 Valiente 10.00 13.4 25-1
3 3 Partyofsixteen 12.00 13.6 26-1
1 1 Mask Off 6.00 15.3 29-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Flame 6.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Kennebec 3.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Steak and Cheese 2.50 10.5 20-1
4 4 Mucho Del Oro 2.00 13.2 25-1
2 2 Club Cal 12.00 14.2 27-1
3 3 Optimistic Valor 4.00 19.2 36-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Straight Up G 1.60 5.1 10-1
3 3 Disobey 6.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Star Entry 12.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Liberty Forever 2.50 14.2 27-1
4 4 Playin in the Band 3.00 14.6 28-1
1 1 Worse Read Sanchez 5.00 17.9 34-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Unbreakable 4.00 12.1 23-1
3 3 Viazar 1.60 15.2 29-1
6 6 Tayet 8.00 16.2 31-1
4 4 B’esame Me Mucho 12.00 17.3 33-1
1 1 Ready Jet Go 3.00 19.6 37-1
7 7 Pop Pop’s Dream 4.00 20.1 38-1
5 5 Malibu Hannah 12.00 22.7 43-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Artisan Dancer 4.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 I’m a Giraffe 2.50 6.7 13-1
9 9 Sangre Azul 3.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 Unfaithful Ways 12.00 13.7 26-1
4 4 Pearls and Heels 8.00 13.8 26-1
7 7 Malibuena 30.00 18.4 35-1
8 8 Surely Spectacular 4.00 19.8 37-1
1 1 Big Mama Thornton 8.00 27.2 51-1
6 6 Lasya Dance 30.00 30.7 58-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Provocation 2.50 1 2-1
8 7 Bristol Bayou 3.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Stella Noir 4.00 9 17-1
7 7 Full of Grace 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Founder’s Day 5.00 11 21-1
6 6 Honor America 10.00 11.4 22-1
1 1 So Very Smart 8.00 11.9 22-1
4 4 Eyes Open 8.00 12.3 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vella 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Majestic Gigi 10.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Savvy Gal 3.50 10.1 19-1
4 4 Swirling 6.00 13.2 25-1
9 8 Square Peggy 20.00 14.5 27-1
5 5 Miss Carousel 4.00 15.6 29-1
7 6 A Dime for Me 20.00 17.4 33-1
8 7 Too Much Heaven 10.00 20.5 39-1
2 2 Invincibella (GB) 3.00 22.3 42-1
1 1 Rose Princess 12.00 31.7 60-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Cary Grant S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 None Above the Law 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Fashionably Fast 3.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Positivity 4.00 17.3 33-1
7 7 Principe Carlo 12.00 21.1 40-1
5 5 Peaceful Transfer 8.00 22.5 42-1
6 6 Loud Mouth 8.00 23.5 44-1
4 4 Colt Fiction 2.50 37.4 71-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Buy American 5.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Laura Mars (IRE) 4.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Forbidden (FR) 8.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Tmorrowisalongtime 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Annaghlasa (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dream of Jeanne 10.00 11.4 21-1
6 6 Trouble Making 12.00 12.7 24-1
3 3 Leisurewear (IRE) 8.00 13.4 25-1
7 7 Buzz of New York (IRE) 3.00 13.4 25-1
9 9 Floral Essence 12.00 18.6 35-1
4 4 Sunny Morning (FR) 6.00 19.6 37-1
8 8 Washington Square 20.00 20.7 39-1
10 10 Ever Smart 20.00 25.4 48-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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