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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 20, 2021

November 20, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Encroachment 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Dance Company 4.00 4 7-1
1 1 Cali Bay (IRE) 2.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Square Cat 6.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Flintmore 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Rackataptap 3.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Top Royal 30.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Whacko Kid 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Daniel’s Magic 15.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Invictatatus 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Secret Touch 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 T Bones Trick 3.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Family Biz 3.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Builder 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Salah 6.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Mad Grace 12.00 8.7 16-1
8 8 Sayin Grace 10.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Storming Lady 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Southern Mama 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Zero Tolerance 0.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Nightlife 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Trickle In 5.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 I’ll Do It for You 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sottocapo 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jungle Roar 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dream Robber 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Lemon Sushi 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Wearenotbadpeople 2.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Head for Business 1.60 7.2 14-1
3 3 Mizzen Power 15.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kazuhiko (AUS) 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Prince Abama (IRE) 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Hail Freedom 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Hollywoodhellraisr 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Rio Ocho (IRE) 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Oncoming 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Flint Stroll 8.00 10.2 19-1
7 7 Sai Con (FR) 8.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Adare Manor 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 I Got a Gal 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Micro Share 5.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Lonely On Top 12.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Little Lara 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Empire Gal 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Peripheral 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Side by Side 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Coloratura 15.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Princess Caterina 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Secret Club 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Ronamo 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Best Chance 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Foothill 5.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Sly 20.00 4.5 9-1
11 10 Midnight Jostar 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Liar Liar (IRE) 8.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Jack Sprout 30.00 9.2 17-1
8 7 Epimythium 15.00 9.4 18-1
6 98 East Rand 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Big Coupe 3.50 14.6 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Eight Rings 3.50 2 4-1
5 4 Azul Coast 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Ax Man 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Kiss Today Goodbye 5.00 7.1 14-1
1 1 Established 6.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Midcourt 4.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Wicked Trick 0.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Bal Harbour 8.00 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Misawa 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Dixie’s Two Stents 1.80 4.1 8-1
6 6 Fenestra 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Drew Big 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Lantern Prince 20.00 8.8 17-1
5 5 Warfront Fighter 4.00 10.5 20-1
3 3 Annie’s Chief 20.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Mad Catter 4.00 10.6 20-1
7 7 Whiskey Vision 30.00 13.3 25-1
1 1 Rocketcent 30.00 15.3 29-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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