November 20, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Encroachment | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
9 | 9 | Dance Company | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Square Cat | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
8 | 8 | Flintmore | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Rackataptap | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Top Royal | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Whacko Kid | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | Daniel’s Magic | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Invictatatus | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Secret Touch | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | T Bones Trick | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Family Biz | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Builder | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
3 | 3 | Salah | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
4 | 4 | Mad Grace | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
8 | 8 | Sayin Grace | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Storming Lady | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Southern Mama | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Zero Tolerance | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Nightlife | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Trickle In | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | I’ll Do It for You | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Sottocapo | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Jungle Roar | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Dream Robber | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Lemon Sushi | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Wearenotbadpeople | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Head for Business | 1.60 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
3 | 3 | Mizzen Power | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Kazuhiko (AUS) | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Hail Freedom | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Hollywoodhellraisr | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
4 | 4 | Rio Ocho (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Oncoming | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
1 | 1 | Flint Stroll | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
7 | 7 | Sai Con (FR) | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Adare Manor | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | I Got a Gal | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Micro Share | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Lonely On Top | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Little Lara | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Empire Gal | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Peripheral | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Side by Side | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
10 | 10 | Coloratura | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
8 | 8 | Princess Caterina | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Secret Club | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ronamo | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
9 | 8 | Best Chance | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Foothill | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Sly | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
11 | 10 | Midnight Jostar | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
1 | 1 | Jack Sprout | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
8 | 7 | Epimythium | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
6 | 98 | East Rand | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
2 | 2 | Big Coupe | 3.50 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Native Diver S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Eight Rings | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | Azul Coast | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Ax Man | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 5.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Established | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
2 | 2 | Midcourt | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 98 | Wicked Trick | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 3 | Bal Harbour | 8.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Misawa | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Dixie’s Two Stents | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Fenestra | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
9 | 9 | Drew Big | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
10 | 10 | Lantern Prince | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
5 | 5 | Warfront Fighter | 4.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
3 | 3 | Annie’s Chief | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
8 | 8 | Mad Catter | 4.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
7 | 7 | Whiskey Vision | 30.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
1 | 1 | Rocketcent | 30.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.