November 19, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Map to My Heart | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Lady Macarena | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Vigilantia | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Va Va Voom | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Aventapp | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
4 | 4 | Mendham Mill | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Smitten by Kitten | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Velvet Slippers | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Ginja | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Sweet Pearl | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | California Kook | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Varoma | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Trouville | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Hay Juan | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Prince Hussar | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
2 | 2 | Bright Leaf | 6.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
4 | 4 | Clampett | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
5 | 5 | Im Still Thirsty | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
7 | 7 | Tizlightning | 3.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Polar | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Fight On | 2.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
7 | 6 | First Prez | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
3 | 3 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 4.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
4 | 98 | Mr Vargas | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Bedrock | 10.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
2 | 2 | Fly the Sky | 4.00 | 18.6 | 35-1 | |
1 | 1 | Psycho Dar | 2.50 | 18.8 | 36-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Riviera Champ | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Town Boy | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | State of the Union | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
5 | 5 | Besame Mucho | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Medina Man | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Chasing Alchemy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
6 | 6 | Pinedale | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
3 | 3 | After the Candy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
1 | 1 | Mad Steven | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Via Egnatia | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Dr. Troutman | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Absolute Unit | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Stirling Drive | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
2 | 2 | Fly to Mars | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
6 | 6 | Move Over (GB) | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
7 | 7 | Seeking Refuge | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
4 | 4 | Blameless | 5.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
5 | 5 | French Getaway | 6.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Delta Wind | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Big Summer | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Cassie Belle | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Saturday Heist | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Rain Diva | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Kristi’s Tiger | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
8 | 8 | September Secret | 4.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
6 | 6 | Lila At the Beach | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Precious Insight | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Candy On Top | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | She’s a Bit Sassy | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
10 | 10 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Warren’s Queen Bee | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
5 | 5 | Bonnie Brae | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
11 | 11 | Roubaix | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
8 | 8 | Infinite Love | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
12 | 98 | Warren’s Showgirl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Lovers Odyssey | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
7 | 7 | Heaven’s Ghost | 30.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
2 | 2 | Councilwoman Jilly | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.