November 14, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Rev Rita | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Pistachio Princess | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | Del Mar Drama | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | St Helena | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bestrella (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Prance | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
2 | 2 | Derby Quest | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Bold Choice | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Professors’ Pride | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Square Footage | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Mo Connelly | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Vegas Dream | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Addydidit | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Roman Empress | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Memes | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sumter | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | B Dawk | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Apprehend | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Admiral Halsey | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
8 | 8 | Who’s Candy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
9 | 98 | Toasted At Dawn | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
5 | 5 | Midnight Fury | 15.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
6 | 6 | Charlie’s Ghost | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Rookie Year | 1.80 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
7 | 6 | Back Ring Luck | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tacoflavoredkisses | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
4 | 4 | Crash Corrigan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Mr. Pickles | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
2 | 2 | Launch Pad | 8.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | |
3 | 3 | Doc Adams | 5.00 | 16.8 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Over Attracted | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Freedom Lass | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Buy Wave Buy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
6 | 6 | Awesome Drive | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
4 | 4 | Miss Flawless (FR) | 8.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
1 | 1 | Sugary | 2.50 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
5 | 5 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 30.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
7 | 7 | Mercy Mercy | 8.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Durante | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Blackadder | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Portsmouth | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Corsica Flavor | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Union Train | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 4.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
4 | 4 | Noble Union | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Suite Madam Blue | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Nu Pi Lambda | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Greg’s Diva | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dancing Crane | 2.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
9 | 9 | Trickle In | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Nightlife | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Miss Carousel | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
3 | 3 | Equilove (IRE) | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
5 | 5 | She’s Devoted | 3.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
6 | 6 | Sacred Peace (FR) | 20.00 | 25 | 47-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Kamui | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Messier | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Winning Map | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Forbidden Kingdom | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 98 | Rock N Rye | 0.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Agreetodisagree | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
10 | 10 | Cecile’s Chapter | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
2 | 2 | Basilia | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
6 | 6 | Chasingserendipity | 6.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
5 | 5 | Can’thelpfallin (IRE) | 15.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
9 | 9 | Lady Emily | 5.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
4 | 4 | Unusual Ride | 15.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
7 | 7 | Magical Thought | 20.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 |
1 | 1 | Golden Voice | 10.00 | 17.4 | 33-1 |
8 | 8 | Del Mar Flash | 10.00 | 21.8 | 41-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.