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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 14, 2021

November 14, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Rev Rita 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Pistachio Princess 3.50 4.1 8-1
5 4 Del Mar Drama 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 5 St Helena 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Bestrella (IRE) 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Prance 2.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Derby Quest 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bold Choice 1.60 1.5 3-1
7 7 Professors’ Pride 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Square Footage 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Mo Connelly 2.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Vegas Dream 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Addydidit 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Roman Empress 8.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Memes 12.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sumter 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 B Dawk 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Apprehend 1.80 6.5 12-1
4 4 Admiral Halsey 4.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Who’s Candy 10.00 8.1 15-1
9 98 Toasted At Dawn 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Midnight Fury 15.00 11.8 22-1
6 6 Charlie’s Ghost 12.00 12.2 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Rookie Year 1.80 7.3 14-1
7 6 Back Ring Luck 3.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Tacoflavoredkisses 8.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Crash Corrigan 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Mr. Pickles 6.00 11.3 21-1
2 2 Launch Pad 8.00 15.5 29-1
3 3 Doc Adams 5.00 16.8 32-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Over Attracted 3.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Freedom Lass 3.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Buy Wave Buy 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Awesome Drive 6.00 9.9 19-1
4 4 Miss Flawless (FR) 8.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 Sugary 2.50 12.4 23-1
5 5 Tizno’s Dilemma 30.00 13.1 25-1
7 7 Mercy Mercy 8.00 13.4 25-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Durante 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Blackadder 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Portsmouth 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Corsica Flavor 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Union Train 6.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Don’t Swear Dave 4.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Noble Union 20.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Suite Madam Blue 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Nu Pi Lambda 6.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Greg’s Diva 3.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Dancing Crane 2.50 9.7 18-1
9 9 Trickle In 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Nightlife 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Miss Carousel 8.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 Equilove (IRE) 6.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 She’s Devoted 3.00 11.5 22-1
6 6 Sacred Peace (FR) 20.00 25 47-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bob Hope S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kamui 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Messier 1.60 2.7 5-1
3 3 Winning Map 1.40 3.1 6-1
5 4 Forbidden Kingdom 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 98 Rock N Rye 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Agreetodisagree 5.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Cecile’s Chapter 4.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Basilia 2.50 9.6 18-1
6 6 Chasingserendipity 6.00 11.4 22-1
5 5 Can’thelpfallin (IRE) 15.00 11.6 22-1
9 9 Lady Emily 5.00 11.8 22-1
4 4 Unusual Ride 15.00 15.3 29-1
7 7 Magical Thought 20.00 16.2 31-1
1 1 Golden Voice 10.00 17.4 33-1
8 8 Del Mar Flash 10.00 21.8 41-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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