November 5, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Triple Tap | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Sumo | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fratelli | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Moon Road | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notre Dame | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vittorio | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Red Valor | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Stand Taller | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Run Snappy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | El Diablo Rojo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Heartfullofstars | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Qatar Golden Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Degree of Risk | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Detroit City | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thirty Four Coupe | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Optimising (IRE) | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Boise | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astronomer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready to Purrform | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nobals | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Birth of Cool | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aquitania Arrival | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile Fillies S. Presented By Pnc
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Drizella | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Choice | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Novel | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Switch | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | It’s Simple | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Vivacious Vanessa | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madiha | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | At the Spa | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rose Maddox | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Vronsky Feint | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Senator Ken Maddy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Superstition | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hear My Prayer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A G Indy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Limit | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ambassador Luna | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angelcents | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anna Fantastic | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lagertha (CHI) | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thunder Love (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Golden State Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Finneus | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joker Boy | 3.50 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Groovy Huey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fast Draw Munnings | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billy’s Bet | 8.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Forever | 15.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moose Mitchell | 6.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Slow Down Andy | 5.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Know Cash Flow | 8.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bandera Azteca | 30.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Candy | 8.00 | 17.6 | 33-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Socal Red | 30.00 | 19 | 36-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lmlooknformischief | 30.00 | 21.8 | 41-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Run Curtis Run | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twilight Gleaming (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Timer | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kaufymaker | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Averly Jane | 2.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Time to Party | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thunder Love (GB) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sumter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Derrynane | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Armor (GB) | 6.00 | 18.2 | 34-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Bears Go (IRE) | 15.00 | 18.5 | 35-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vertiginous (IRE) | 20.00 | 18.6 | 35-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hierarchy (IRE) | 12.00 | 19.1 | 36-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twilight Jet (IRE) | 15.00 | 19.5 | 37-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Netjets Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Juju’s Map | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tarabi | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sequist | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Dawn | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Zulu | 0.80 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Connection | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bubble Rock | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Haughty | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turnerloose | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | California Angel | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Koala Princess | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cairo Memories | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Helens Well (IRE) | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Consumer Spending | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sail By | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pizza Bianca | 5.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cachet (IRE) | 12.00 | 17.5 | 33-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello You (IRE) | 10.00 | 18.1 | 34-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mise En Scene (GB) | 6.00 | 18.4 | 35-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Malavath (IRE) | 8.00 | 18.8 | 35-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tvg Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Presented By Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Jasper Great | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Corniche | 2.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pappacap | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pinehurst | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barossa | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Giant Game | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Commandperformance | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | American Sanctuary | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack Christopher | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Tough to Tame | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double Thunder | 20.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Oviatt Class | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mackinnon | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz the Bomb | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Grafton Street | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Coinage | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Credibility | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Ready to Purrform | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Detroit City | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Portfolio Company | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stolen Base | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Slipstream | 12.00 | 16.1 | 30-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dakota Gold | 8.00 | 16.8 | 32-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dubawi Legend (IRE) | 4.00 | 24.9 | 47-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Modern Games (IRE) | 5.00 | 25 | 47-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Albahr (GB) | 6.00 | 25.2 | 48-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glounthaune (IRE) | 12.00 | 26.3 | 50-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Great Max (IRE) | 20.00 | 26.5 | 50-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.