November 5, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Horn of Plenty | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tackle | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rudy Rod | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brockmoninoff | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | By George | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Blaming You | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Propensity | 3.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Disciplanarian | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yankee Empire | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Veterans Beach | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Jerusalem Gates | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Litterbox | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Black Irish | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Escapology | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New York Banker | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tellaperfecttale | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beat by a Rose | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Captivating Cara | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Know It All Red | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emerald Banker | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reeley Psyched | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Elegant Laoban | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Epona’s Dream | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amity Island | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caramocha | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Fine | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Perfect Too | 1.40 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ok Honey | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Atlantic Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Jeff | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trust Daddy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Longshadow | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pure Panic | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Biz Biz Buzz | 1.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Here Comes Billy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tops the Chart | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Karen’s Cove | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Money | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Win With Pride | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dugout | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Ragtime Blues | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Next Flight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tapizearance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Winning Drive | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Conquist | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gimmedamoney | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Lion in Zion | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clash A. J. | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Institute | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Something Majestic | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Knightly Mischief | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Agility | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supreme Being | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raw Courage | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Awad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Geno | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | General Ken | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Spirit | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artie’s Angel | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daunt | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Ticonderoga S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Two Cent Tootsie | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Lady | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Giacosa | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Barkin | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cara’s Dreamer | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Journey | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silky Blue | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Princess | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tempted S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet as Pie | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Goddess of Fire | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surprisingly | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Gerrymander | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nest | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Circle | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Hot Mess | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Matcha | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Addicted to You | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D’vinicris | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jack’s Dream | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Arms an Armor | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gotanda | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Babagram | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Heroneandonly | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flintshire’s Rock | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 3.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Damilano | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hot Doctor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Top of the Mint | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bail Out the Bank | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Taco Bean | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sandor Clegane | 15.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.