November 3, 2021 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honorary Degree | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fun Coupons | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Pursuit | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Chewbacca | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pick Your Bid | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hawk Hill | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Bellatrix | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortunata Tensio | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saturday Nite Girl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sparkle Blue | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolly May (IRE) | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blame It On Rose | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Dove | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dadstar | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Pouch | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heaven’s Music | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mondale | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Swede | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indio Mo Mo | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eye Candy Randy | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Feminine | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookinformischief | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tribute to Afleet | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Wilder Than Most | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dr. Troutman | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foothill | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ferrariano | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tropical Terror | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anitanewmercedes | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Fly to Mars | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Speed Pass | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Active Account | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Next Revolt | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fast as Cass | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Rebel War | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tromador | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afternoon Heat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ronamo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Charge Cash | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moraz | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Costa Rica | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carpe Fortuna | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nazuna (IRE) | 1.60 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Game | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Feathers (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasingserendipity | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Quest | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seashell S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Livingmybestlife | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlight d’Oro | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paige Anne | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Fia | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clockstrikestwelve | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lisette | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hail Freedom | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Really Big News | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Nas | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just About Enough | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sottocapo | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tallemark | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pyeong Chang | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | What an Idea | 12.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Head for Business | 6.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.