October 31, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Air Force Woman | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Jet Go | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Strike | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Wand | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Va Va Voom | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aventapp | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowl of Cherries | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cal Rough | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Striking Tigress | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Alegria | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bristol Bayou | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sadie Bluegrass | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cover Version | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full of Grace | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bye Bye Bertie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Luxury Liner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ready Soul | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Storm Risen | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Media Blitz | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Margot’s Boy | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evening Sun (GB) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | K P All Systems Go | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Under the Stars | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adare Manor | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Tea | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awake At Midnyte | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Everything | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Butterfly Barb | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Paycheque Smile | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Muy Chistosa | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Liar Liar (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brix | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silardi | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swiss Swoo (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ka’nah | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Podres | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mesut | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caerulean | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capo Mafioso | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McWherter | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sly | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Aristeia | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | B’esame Me Mucho | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Winter Star | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slew South | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Medusa’s Gaze | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamite Queen | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen of Love | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dual Reality | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backtoflash | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Portugueseprincess | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Witch Moon | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Momma Mocca | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Mission | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Whistler’s Style | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Judy With Grace | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory of Chrome | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Floral Essence | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 8 | Handy Dandy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Clampett | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mad Steven | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Town Boy | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Con On the Run | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Commissioner David | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Curly Esa | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tribute to Afleet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Chasing Alchemy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Big Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 1 | Missing Maurice | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | After the Candy | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | C Falls | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mac Daddy Too | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vantastic | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barraza | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cumberland Avenue | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go On | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cotopaxi (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snazzy Dresser | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bedrock | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Twilight Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rock Your World | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subconscious | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hudson Ridge | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashiest | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wootton Asset (FR) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jungle Cry | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | None Above the Law | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beyond Brilliant | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cathkin Peak (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.