October 30, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Unusual | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s Our Charm | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tapwater | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Secretary | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kuora (PER) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Jet Court (BRZ) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassyserb | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Dougie Fresh | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smileforme | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Equity | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy Jones | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pelican Way | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bam Bam Again | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fantail (GB) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thrilling | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Eddie | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trouville | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Palm | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maxim Strider | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flipping Fast | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Preaching Trainer | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nichiren | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letsgetlucky | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Principe Carlo | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Prez | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Squalotoro | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eastern Ocean | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dominant Soul | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tulsa Tornado | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Constitutionaffair | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Treat (GB) | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gregory’s Pride | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Addouma | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly the Sky | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Newpark (IRE) | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | C Falls | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mac Daddy Too | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Go On | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vantastic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cherubic Factor | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brilliant Cut | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m the Boss of Me | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Miss Ellie | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keep Your Coil | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Hannah | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | House of Targaryen | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Double Fantasy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beachgrass | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Head Start | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Talkative Gal | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kobe in Motion | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Taylor | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mama Thornton | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sangre Azul | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Autumn Miss S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Zero Tolerance | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madone | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burgoo Alley (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ego Trip (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Loveaffair | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eddie’s New Dream | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Flyer | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Javanica | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Star Entry | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Creative Peak | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Sixpack | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grazen in the Park | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Straight Up Lov | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moose Mitchell | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tribal Dancing | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Bug Z | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Travel Smart | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Giraffe | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blossoming | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abhita | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | French Franc (FR) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Set the Tone | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlotte Harbor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K P Krypton | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Macrelletta | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibuena | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.