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Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 30, 2021

October 30, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 I’ll Go All In 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Sals Dream Girl 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Pave My Way 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Shigeko 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Jannie Mae 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Uni Loves a Fight 30.00 5 9-1
2 2 My Cara Mia Mine 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Sarah’s Splendor 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cupere 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Wicked Karma 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Noble Journey 1.60 3.7 7-1
12 12 Reunion Tour 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Bless Bless 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Shimmering Light 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Out of the Breech 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Arrowheart 2.50 7.2 14-1
4 4 Crossing Verazanno 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Artie’s Lit 12.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Freudian Analyst 30.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Mambonick 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ghostmon 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Sleepy Hollow S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Overstep 1.20 1.2 2-1
5 5 Excursionniste 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sterling Hill 12.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Shipsational 1.40 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sundaeswithsandy 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Who Hoo Thats Me 4.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Live in Five 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Juliana’s Rose 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 4 Starship Subway 10.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Candy Monet 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Dakota Dancer 3.50 5.1 10-1
12 12 Sabreen 3.50 5.7 11-1
10 10 Palace Gossip 1.00 6.9 13-1
1A 14 Starship Rogue 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Arduously 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Sinfully Sweet 6.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Steppin’ Hawk 20.00 10 19-1
3 2 Road to Remember 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 U Should B Dancing 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Madame Rose 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Hudson H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ny Traffic 2.00 2 4-1
6 6 Bronx Bomber 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Chestertown 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Amundson 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Judge N Jury 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Our Last Buck 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Jemography 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Foolish Ghost 6.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Kaz’s Beach 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iroquois S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Espresso Shot 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 The Important One 1.40 2.2 4-1
4 4 Letmetakethiscall 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Hannah Dances 15.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Fight On Lucy 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Miss Jimmy 1.80 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Maid Of The Mist S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Venti Valentine 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Sue Ellen Mishkin 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Vallelujah 20.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Sandy’s Garden 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Velvet Sister 4.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Captainsdaughter 12.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Luz 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Classic Lynne 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Dufresne 8.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Starship Laoban 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Empire Distaff H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Maiden Beauty 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dancing Kiki 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Ice Princess 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sharp Starr 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Make Mischief 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Bank Sting 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Byhubbyhellomoney 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mrs. Orb 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Vienna Code 30.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Trinni Luck 3.50 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Empire Classic H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tiergan 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Sea Foam 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Three Jokers 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Americanrevolution 1.40 3.5 7-1
1 1 Captain Bombastic 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Wild Banker 30.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Danny California 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Mr. Buff 4.50 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 City Mischief 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 More Like It 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Bad Guy 15.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Bar Fourteen 20.00 6.9 13-1
16 16 Scotto 8.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 Coragescontender 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 King Angelo 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Neuro 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Saratoga Flash 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 War Terminator 3.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mr. Kringle 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chrome Dixie 12.00 10.8 20-1
9 9 Gongheifatchoy 15.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 Constant Knight 50.00 11.6 22-1
13 13 Volkert 15.00 11.8 22-1
1 1 Scotty 50.00 12.6 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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