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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 29, 2021

October 29, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fight On 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tizhotndusty 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Clayton Delaney 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Grit and Curiosity 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Polar 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Owning 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bronn 1.60 1.1 2-1
4 4 Scary Fast Smile 1.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Herd Immunity 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Doc Adams 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Teton Valley 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Well 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Mongol Altai 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 No Hang Charlie 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Club Mesquite 6.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Bravestone 15.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Irresistibly Sexy 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Primer Dimer 15.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Fishin the River 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Mayhem and Chaos 3.50 6.8 13-1
7 7 Rocketcent 15.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Gone Awol 30.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Park Avenue 1.20 1.7 3-1
2 2 Dream of Jeanne 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Lil Town Sis 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Assignation 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Angel of Freedom 4.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sauls Call 0.80 2.2 4-1
3 3 Mr. T’s Thirsty 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Barsabas 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Last Renegade 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Double the Gold 8.00 4 8-1
6 98 Tizlightning 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Robin 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Perfect Ice Storm 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Convince 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Hot On the Trail 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Northern Gem 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Miss You Mom 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harbor Sky 1.60 1.3 2-1
2 2 Bold Voyager 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Launch Pad 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Test Drive 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Intense 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Vegas Moon 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Fly to Mars 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Luck of the Draw 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Irish Heatwave 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Stage Ready 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 East Rand 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Liberal (IRE) 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 The Black Album (FR) 15.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Blameless 15.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Vegas Palm 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Reno 3.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Youteyourhonor 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Half Past Twelve 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lilly Babe 2.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sally Stanford 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Empire Pass 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Allwinedup 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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