October 29, 2021 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Money Mike | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elevator Pitch | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Engrave | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Injunction | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emerald Express | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ping Pong Champ | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mo Z | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Star Alignment | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smile Happy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Dancer | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good Soldier | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prayforpeace | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curly Tail | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spend Again | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a War Lord | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Stripe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guana Cay | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bertrada | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holdontoyourtiara | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just Fine by Me | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Biz | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Karat | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Longdrinkofwater | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unherdof | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dance On Over | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Naval Aviator | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Federal Hill | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gooch Go Bragh | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Andy Cant | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Walhalla | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tiger Moon | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Backstabbr | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hashtag No Wonder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tonkawa Springs | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Encourage | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Iberville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Faith Runner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ruthless Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Overanalytical | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Watch the Music | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mazuma | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jungle Juice (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Awesome Jenny | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Miss | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Ginger | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Frills | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Catechism | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Larimar | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yogurt | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lady of Luxury | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Laughing Boy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheffy | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Line | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carillo | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Decision Maker | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Soul | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sono Grato | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meister | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2 | Vivar | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Lucky Boss | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Speaking Scout | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Britain’s Kitten | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Brit’s Wit | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Xavey Dave | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dowagiac Chief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Kiss the Sky | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Be Like Clint | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Grael | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Martini’nmoonshine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gingrich | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Trust Daddy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Moms Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Call Me Gusto | 50.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Myrtlewood S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jester Calls Nojoy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Majestic d’Oro | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chi Town Lady | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Towser | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | You Look Cold | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Pure Silver | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kant Believe It | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Dani Girl | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Verylittlecents | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jumeirah | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Summer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Rubicon Valley View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Crazy Beautiful | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tobys Heart | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breaker of Chains | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adventuring | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Princess Theorem | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oliviaofthedesert | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oyster Box | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lady Speightspeare | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flown | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gam’s Mission | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Wait for Nairobi | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Saranya | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arm Candy | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Core Values | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Navratilova | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Queenship (IRE) | 8.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Brother Brad | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Kolsch | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Biko | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Contractor Bill | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Destined for Honor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Bassett | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | La Mosca | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Breacher | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Doctrinaire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.