October 24, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Gailhorsewind | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Never Content (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Salino | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Exotic Cat | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Ballot Initiative | 0.60 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Nutter | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Synonymous | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Happy | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Commandandcontrol | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 10 | Investment Income | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Storm Advisory | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Mist | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Winning Drive | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flowers for Lisa | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sy Dog | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Protonic Power | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Father Walsh | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr Brownes Miracle | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ansel | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baj | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Exceptional | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just Jeremy | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Flight | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Levy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Good Medicine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | American Day | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miles D | 0.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adare | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Auburn Hills | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ashaar | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chowda | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Conquer the World | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Advise and Consent | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aruba | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | North Carolina | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Please the Pharoah | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Sugar | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ninth of April | 50.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prayer Book | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Partner’s Hope | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Straight Skinny | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Made My Day (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Western Advantage | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caribbean Gold | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Actuary (GB) | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gateway Guardian | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Halpert | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Prefect | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Digital Software | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Justintimeforwine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ouch Ouch Ouch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Voliero | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tulfarris (GB) | 3.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jacks American Pie | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K. K. Ichikawa | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Miss Peppina | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dazzling Speed | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | East Wing | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bellamy’spartygirl | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Alex | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Song | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bustinmygroove | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Charlotte Webley | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Air | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Evidence Based | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lido Key | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gambling Cat | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giggle Factory | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Command Point | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Linny Kate | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Grey Charlotte | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Exotic West | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sudden Impulse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Suspended Campaign | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Mission | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Point Of Entry S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bluegrass Parkway | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tide of the Sea | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beacon Hill | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shamrocket | 1.40 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Gotcha | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moretti | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Experienced | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Suit of Armor | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaden | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Gen | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swinton | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Distractandattack | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yah Huh | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flipping Fun | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remembermom | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kisses for Val | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alite | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.