October 23, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Make It in Ny | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Wicked Charm | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Speed Effect | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Empire | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Bahe | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnnypump | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ask Neal | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Profusion | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bedazzling | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Halstaat | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Litterbox | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Big Everest (GB) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turn of Events | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | La La Land (IRE) | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shiraz | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Basso | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colton’s Command | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Bourbon Mission | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Scuttlebuzz | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Boldish | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Pop the Clutch | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sheer Alice (GB) | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brisky Frolic | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lia Marina | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Splitsecondsonny | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ironic Lady | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Belleshazza | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skims (GB) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Connected | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redzilla | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Radiant Gem | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Steadfast Love | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Circle Back Jen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wisecrack | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mommie’s Jewel | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ernie Banker | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Irish Giant | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Posse Can Disco | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tallaj | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent Chrome | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mucho Sunshine | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Smooth | 4.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Noctilucent | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | War of Thrones | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exxtop | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Silvermill | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miracle Nicky | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir John | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Desert Tornado | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cagney | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maseta | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Excursionniste | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nikostratos | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drums of War | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lookin Grand | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Addis Ababa | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Kingham Hill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Hard Traveler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Convertible Freeze | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Iron Lion in Zion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kingdom On Paws | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Repo Rocks | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | King James | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stanhope | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fair Haired Boy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Moonracer | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Determined Fury | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cousin Andrew | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Montatham | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ring of Fire | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rudy Rod | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Cadeau de Paix | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | U. S. Steel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Big Brown Shoes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Spectatorless | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Mischief | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | R Boy Bode | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Glittering Prize | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Doc Rock | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Lady | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Lies | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Heart | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Snow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Liberty Flame | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tijera Lee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Sugar Baby | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frosty Invasion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Noble Damsel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tamahere (FR) | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | High Opinion | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shifty She | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love And Thunder (IRE) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In a Hurry | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flower Point | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risky Mischief | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marlborough Road (IRE) | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Paynter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Truth Hurts | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Hill Prince S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’spuregold | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Founder | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Public Sector (GB) | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slicked Back | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Never Surprised | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Bomber (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hilliard | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Original | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It Can Be Done | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Kisses for Emily | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Fist | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sunset Louise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Our Reward | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Laochi | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Take Charge Lisa | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Honorable Ruth | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Giggling Ghost | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trinity Titoli | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.