October 22, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Balinese | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | School of Thought | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Anthem | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Untamed Lady | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Black Licorice | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace in Motion | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Someday Maybe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Athenry | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hot Doctor | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rogue Leader | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Novel | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tough Workout | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tamburro’s Sox | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Banker | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Majestic Sky | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Flintshire’s Rock | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tuesday’s Child | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Top of the Mint | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chase the Cat | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | El Mayor | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Taco Bean | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Single Soul (GB) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Made In Italy (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flauto | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | L’Indiscret | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Second Row Center | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Villainous | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Rome | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Beautiful | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liveyourbeastlife | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grumps Little Tots | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ragtime Blues | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Asymmetric | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astral Weeks | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Devious Banker | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Catching Cupid | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lazzarito | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kenner | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Last Mission | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Pursuit of Justice | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Fawzia | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sailingintothewind | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Sweet Wife | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiple (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Gracious | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Publication | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Make a Wish | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Handbelle | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nostalgic | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saffron Moon | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Into Happiness | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Artemis | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Morning in America | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toosweettobesour | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Tuscan Queen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | O’Gotten Girl | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abuse of Power | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sussex Garden (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stolen Holiday | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Harper’s in Charge | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Screamin’ By | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lilly Simone | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jades Gelly | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruvies in Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Black Belt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Violent Point | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Bravo Regina | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Carle Place S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Easy Time | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin’ Jay | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crowded Trade | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Snow House | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Kawhi Me a River | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocala Dream | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Rustler | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Town of Gold | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Lake | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arzak | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Resist the Devil | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Hot Rod Rumble | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bali’s Shade | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Call My Banker | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vibe Setter | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Our Son Jake | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Amedeus Music | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Almond Cider | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gimmedamoney | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Something Majestic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Always Charming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Clash A. J. | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.