October 20, 2021 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Temple Belle | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sua Sorella | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laura’s Angle | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Inspeightful | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Stylin | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Madam Pie | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hostile Princess | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eida’s Storm | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Frontier Dynasty | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ipsum Gratus | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forgot Password | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Get Clear | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Rye Time | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cousin Larry | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beachwalker | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speightstown Again | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Generator | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belafonte | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Keen Mind | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Remember Normandy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Relativlea | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Pete | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barstow | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Gent | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mamaneedsnewshoes | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paynt Your Wagon | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shacklesfly | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Carnivore | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Father Patrick | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Design | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rockstar Ro | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Continental Coins | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thing | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hope and Dignity | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maxi Boy (GB) | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Science (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bezos | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheeky Chaps | 2.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caramelito | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nobody Listens | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Volubile | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Airwar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jack Van Berg | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chief Howcome | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dr. Duke | 12.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fan the Fire | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Improbable Journey | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camargo | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mask Patrol | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mumayaz | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pine Valley | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Arrow Strike | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twirling Blues | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pancake House | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quarantine | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dominga | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bay B Ruth | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Causeway | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pass the Plate | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’llhandalthecash | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Is a Legend | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tipsy Gal | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Moxy | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Powder River | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Piece of My Heart | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Band Luzziann | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Break Curfew | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thinking | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Already Charming | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hal’s Dream | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tunnel | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Sweetness | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twin Cause | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stanley Market | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jaccaci | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Charlottes Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Claire June | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Azamana Empire | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zambak | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cold Call | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U So Money Baby | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gimme Mo Baby | 4.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paris Paramour | 15.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.