Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 17, 2021

October 17, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vallarand 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Courageous Girl 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Cartwheel 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Frost Me 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Pay Grade 1.20 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Appreciate 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 High School Crush 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Shining Colors 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 Constitutionalrage 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 3 Emma and I 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Khali Magic 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 1 Herald Angel 2.50 7 13-1
10 10 Lucky Sitka 30.00 7 13-1
1A 11 Adele Kat 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Carly Hustle 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lot of Honey 5.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Zerenia 3.50 SCRATCH
12 13 Seahorse d’Oro 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forced Ranking 1.20 1.4 3-1
6 6 Debate 12.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Drakon 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Fenwick 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Citizen Mack 6.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Carpe’s Dream 15.00 4 8-1
2 2 Urban Forest 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Road to Success 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Texas Swing 1.60 3.7 7-1
5 5 Good Culture 4.50 4.4 8-1
3 3 Johnnypump 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Coach Bahe 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Rocco Strong 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Royal Realm 4.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Indoctrinate 30.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sandrone 6.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Devil Or Angel 2.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Buckortwo 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 My Last Mission 30.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Cool Laoban 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Joey the Carpenter 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Red Fortress 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Hezastonecoldfox 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Khali’s Dream 30.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Deptford Dancer 20.00 5.7 11-1
13 13 Father Walsh 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bali’s Shade 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Thrill of It 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lord Brownie 30.00 10.9 21-1
6 6 Chief Engineer 15.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Grape Nuts Warrior 3.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Fatima’s Blessing 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Catch That Party 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Agent Creed 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Regality 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Missionatthespa 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Mr. Kringle 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Chulainn 5.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Cotton 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Work Out 20.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Water’s Edge 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Just Right 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 1 Manifest Destiny 15.00 2.6 5-1
1 3 I Love Jaxson 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Analyzethisandthat 15.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Quintarelli 30.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Gandy Dancing 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sicilia Mike 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 More Graytful 1.80 5.9 11-1
1A 4 Dugout 4.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Durkin’s Call 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Floral Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Raven’s Cry (IRE) 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Robin Sparkles 2.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Honey Cake (IRE) 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Gogo Shoes 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Secure Connection 8.00 6 11-1
5 4 Pacific Gale 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Too Sexy 4.50 6.2 12-1
8 7 Introduced 5.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Time Limit 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Intense Honor 8.00 1.6 3-1
12 11 Lady Valentine 3.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Gailhorsewind 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Thegoddessofsnakes 30.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Thesis Break 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Ingress 12.00 5.8 11-1
11 10 Lilac Girl 2.00 5.8 11-1
13 12 R Girl Faith 50.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Wow 15.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Rhombique 30.00 8.2 15-1
6 5 Vintage Style 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Venus Oyzo 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Suffice 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mun Luv 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tekila 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Miss Bonnie T 8.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.