October 15, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Cecile’s Chapter | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Zabava | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Del Mar Drama | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Loud Loud Music | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Donut Girl | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kuora (PER) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Essential Wager | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miacomet | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thales | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Affable | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | American Admiral | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mongolian Ford | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vetoed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Disco Ball | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Sweet Devil | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rev Rita | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Acai | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Tokyo | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mind Meld | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Takethediamondlane | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chrome of Our Own | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tribal Bid | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Drama | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gerlach’s | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Pick Your Bid | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Try to Capture | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Eight Makar | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Little Mischief | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Circle Back | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | D D S Express | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Catter | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Flatter | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Humboldt | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Fenestra | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Max Smart | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Eighteen Maverick | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Toeris | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Carroll Girl | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ballet Dancing | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Peripheral | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Dragon Queen | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Sign | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Empire d’Oro | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Queen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exalted Joy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Borkan | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Direct Line | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfecto Amor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lightning Fast | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Beat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Via Egnatia | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Castle | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seeking Refuge | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ian Glass | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Admirably | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Psycho Dar | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Eyes West | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Crossword | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Stitzy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Sensemaker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blameless | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Barossa | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Breakfast Ride | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | South Street | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Union | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katonah | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Durante | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cabo Spirit | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War At Sea | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Runner | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 98 | Midnight Mammoth | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Portsmouth | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Fore Flag | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sippin N Kissin | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Mane Champ | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tribal Dancing | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agador Spartacus | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Pouch | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bally’s Charm | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trapalis | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.