Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 15, 2021

October 15, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Liam Skye 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Saving Argument 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Mr. Unusual 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Humphrey 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Antietam Road 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Hero of the Hour 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Ice Crush 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Giant Influence 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Shop Around 4.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 All in Bronson 10.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Be a Bandit 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cavatica 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Two With a Ten 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lea’s Princess 3.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 She Is a Bling 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ebony Bay 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diesel Jack 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 My Man Louie 12.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 All Mike No Mae 10.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Star and a Half 15.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Its a Deal 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Luck of the Stars 15.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Fourtoedfred 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Papa Jr 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Starship Festival 2.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Big Results 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Son Carlos 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Half a Bite 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Southpine Gift 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 D’rock 3.50 5.7 11-1
9 9 Freudian Sip 2.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Money Cometh 4.00 6 11-1
10 10 Zens Secret 8.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Town Drunk 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Bettercalljohn 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Corvette Spirit 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Buckets 6.00 8.3 16-1
11 11 Eternal Force 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sunnyonastormyday 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cypress Queen 10.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Viv Viv Viv 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Splenda Gail 12.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Madame Jane 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 O Chita 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ballerini 6.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Strong Chick 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Charged Temp 3.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hour City 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Two Mikes N Doc G 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Calculate 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Three Run Homer 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Stephen’s Answer 6.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Pinch Assault 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Lovethatcause 4.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Buxterhooter 12.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Carpe Victoriam 6.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Old Indian Trick 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Popizar 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Si Es Goya 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jet Sweep 12.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cause She’s Mine 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Russian Roulette 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Point of Victory 15.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Texas Red Bel 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Broke Financing 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 It’sfiftyshadetime 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Birdie Be Gone 4.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Friendofthecourt 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Beauty Boy 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Mizspelt 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Victory Trip 5.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Loveu and Proudofu 4.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Huffs Taz a Boo 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Mucho Marvin 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Golden Palace 10.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Gold Punch 2.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 Cajun Up 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Money and Me 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hot Ten 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Billie K 12.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Net a Bear 1.80 3.5 7-1
3 3 Carondelet 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Snowball 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Sarah’s Passion 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Inawic 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Quikfast N Ahurry 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Winning Romance 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pennie’s Magic 20.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Sunisa 4.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Social Date 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Maya’s Wish 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Jackies Irishdream 20.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Easy Is Good 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Smoke in Your Eyes 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Furka Pass 5.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Astro Flash 12.00 5 10-1
9 9 Dream Peaceful 2.50 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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