Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 15, 2021

October 15, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Corkman 0.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Napoleon Complex 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Deputies Edge 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Great Grand Son 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Remembermom 4.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Flight to Paradise 3.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Stanford (IRE) 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Front Man 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Reckless Spirit 10.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 La Hara (IRE) 1.60 5 9-1
9 9 Somethingtotellyou 5.00 6 11-1
2 1 Mr. Vincent 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Blue Lou Boyle (IRE) 3.00 6.5 12-1
1 2 Glory Road 1.80 SCRATCH
1A 10 Striking Speed 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Liveyourbeastlife 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 3 Sweeter 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Mazal Eighteen 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 5 Hollywood Gina 1.00 3 6-1
1 1 Red Pepper Grill 1.60 4 8-1
5 7 Charlotte Webley 5.00 4.1 8-1
2B 6 Malibu Luna 1.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Mission Trail 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Wick Loves a Fight 4.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Ohtwoohthreefive 0.80 3.1 6-1
5 5 Asset Talent 12.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Pipito 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Open Til Midnight 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Exclusive Order 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Made to Be Lucky 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 R Doc 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 King of Hollywood 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Good Skate 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 No More Mischief 1.60 1.4 3-1
2 2 Pacific Grove 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Next Tuesday 2.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Luna Fortuna 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Exchange Road 30.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Love Unlimited 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Spice Ice 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Slow Crossing 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mezcal 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Blue Times 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Peacebethejourney 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mayhap 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Pruning 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sitting Pretty 2.00 4 8-1
2 2 Except Temptation 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Glen Cove S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Keeper of Time (IRE) 20.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Alwayz Late 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Invincible Gal (GB) 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Orbs Baby Girl 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Adelaide Miss 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Bay Storm 3.00 6.5 12-1
12 11 Honey Pants 10.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Caldee 6.00 9.1 17-1
9 8 Miss Dracarys 8.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Spirit of Bermuda (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Por Que No 15.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 Aug Lutes 12.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whispering Pines 1.20 1.1 2-1
5 5 Union Gables 4.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Royal Meghan 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Patty H 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Easy to Bless 3.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Horn of Plenty 5.00 4.7 9-1
6 4 Bricco 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 5 Propensity 4.50 6.2 12-1
2 1 Yankee Empire 12.00 7.3 14-1
10 6 Ask Neal 30.00 9.8 18-1
4 3 Count Down 6.00 9.8 19-1
1 3 Jerusalem Gates 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Make It in Ny 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Vodka Lemonade 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Coach Bahe 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Road to Success 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Justintimeforwine 15.00 SCRATCH
12 7 Chrome Dixie 3.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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