Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 14, 2021

October 14, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kuhl Star 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Union Freedom 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Steel City Dude 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Alabama Jamma 6.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Power G 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Frosty Warrior 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Bad Gus 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Wadada 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Muted 1.20 1.2 2-1
3 3 Yes I’m a Beast 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Deal Go Down 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Russian to Win 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Lightening Larry 4.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Berhanu 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Catching Fish 4.50 4.5 8-1
6 6 Personal Meadow 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Union Gap 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Captured by Fate 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Strong Ending 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Sea Trident 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grrr 4.50 1.4 3-1
10 10 No Getting Over Me 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Not So Easy 4.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Traceability 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Suleman 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Political Riot 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Big City Red 15.00 9.4 18-1
9 9 Khozando 15.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Kleon 20.00 9.8 18-1
6 6 Coltonstheadmiral 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gunman 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Corey 2.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Khozmore 1.40 1.7 3-1
3 3 Restofthestory 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Nacho Mama 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Liza Star 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Bargainaire 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ambassador Jim 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Rebelde 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Causalistic 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 New Year 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Long Beach Kid 3.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Spinning Kitten 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Robintakincharge 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Gemonteer 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Creative Cloud 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Seazan 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Twelve Volt Man 5.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Devoted Kitten 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Menelik 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Big Thorn 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Magic Eclipse 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Baby Blue 3.00 1.4 3-1
12 12 Spectacular Gal 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Splicer 6.00 3.1 6-1
13 13 Miss Beth’el 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 My d’Valentine 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Dolcisima 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Libertalia 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Unbridled Chrome 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Cagua 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Oodles On Fire 20.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Susans Novela 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Cupid Austin 20.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Rachel Dream 30.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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