October 14, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | So Suave (IRE) | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zanno | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coragescontender | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | U. S. Steel | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Qian B C | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Wonder | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Handy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Colormepazzi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Devious Mo | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Resilient Courage | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Cozzy’s Attitude | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Drosel Diem | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Montego Bay Circle | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 8 | Sterling Hill | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 4 | Wicked Bobby | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2B | 7 | Knightly Mischief | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Kingdom On Paws | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Briggs | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jake Rocks | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Whirlwind Ride | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Him She Kisses | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supply and Demand | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Copa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tingling Mint | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Thornhill | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fist Full of Dice | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Duckphat | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Out of Sight | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapple Cider | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vivazano | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Another Smile | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Caumsett | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Call Me Harry | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Pharoahs | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alphalfa | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Straw Into Gold | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Out East | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Buck | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Opt | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Faith | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swashbuckle | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Bay | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Matty’s Express | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Steelersfanforlife | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bourbon Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Durkin’s Call | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Myra Fleener | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Exact Change | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Escapology | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dom’s Feisty Girl | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Captivating Cara | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Know It All Red | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reeley Psyched | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tassi | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starship Rogue | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Decreed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ob La Di | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Rule | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Therisastormbrewin | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Break | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Palace | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lokoya Road | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pier Forty | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respect for All | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bingo John | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Messidor (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Windfall Profit | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Delicious | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Plume | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evvie Jets | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Fawzia | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Contained | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Equal Measure | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 11 | Gotanda | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Go Johnny Go | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D’vinicris | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sonic Speed | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I Gen | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jack’s Dream | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Data Deal | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Arms an Armor | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Tiger | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Little Risk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Freudian Analyst | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Addicted to You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Remembermom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stonecoldwarrior | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Giramonte | 3.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tempesta | 8.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.