Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 13, 2021

October 13, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Free to Fly 0.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Dreaming Diamonds 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Always Talking 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Purda Vita 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Uncut 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Morissette 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Twirling Liz 3.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Love On Fire 1.80 3 6-1
6 6 Sizzling Roma 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Southern Cents 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Gypsy Janie 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Originaly From Dot 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Fleeterthan 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Madame Tiger 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mr. Tuttle 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Wicked Rebel 4.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Cristiano’s Dream 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lawlessness 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Bucks Are Moving 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Maine 10.00 6 11-1
7 7 Commissioner G 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Pharaoh’s City 6.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Monte Ne 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 4 Fran’s Worrier 2.50 5.4 10-1
7 6 Loan Me Your Ear 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 The Italian 8.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Wild Haven 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Rockin Cowboy 5.00 6.6 13-1
6 5 Out of Line 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Ask Chuck 12.00 7 13-1
4 3 Fara’s Kid 12.00 8.2 16-1
2 2 Clear Prosperity 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gia’s Fuego 0.80 2.9 5-1
2 2 Brooklyn Heights 5.00 4 8-1
7 7 God Still Loves Me 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Nyssa 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Nickys Notion 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Disco Daisy 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Creative Joy 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Start Meee 2.50 3.1 6-1
10 9 Green Mansions 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Louie’s Wish 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Kowboy Karma 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Mach Trial 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Unbridled John 10.00 5.6 10-1
9 8 Powerful Ally 1.80 5.9 11-1
1 1 Jupi’s Lightning 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Catch Fire 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Irish Colonel 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 2 Eleazar 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Puttheglassdown 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 1 Successful Cure 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 4 Classy American 6.00 6 11-1
11 5 Our Philly Special 15.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Flashinthenight 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Amblin Man 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Dr Zrada 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lawyer Roy 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Ouch Ouch Ouch 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Jama Dillon 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fore Harp 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Strawberry Red 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Practical Coach 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Act of Valor 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Beast Or Famine 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Catch the Smoke 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tequila Jr 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 A Dangerous Guy 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Extra Crunchy 5.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Vino Y Queso 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 3 Kirtan 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Mundle of Joy 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Content 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 5 Billieanne 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Pretty Spectacular 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Excitable Lady 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 2 Imperial Moon 10.00 7 13-1
1 1 Pink Shoelaces 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Get Her Readyeddie 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Skillful 2.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Hodler 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 He Runs the Line 5.00 7.7 15-1
8 7 Call Me G Q 12.00 8.7 17-1
6 5 La Panzanella 4.00 9 17-1
9 8 Enano 15.00 9 17-1
1 1 Factum Love Style 8.00 9.3 18-1
5 4 Joe the Boss 20.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Missed the Bus 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Prefontaine 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 The Fire Within 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Duck Ducky Goose 15.00 10 19-1
3 3 Rickie’s Melody 20.00 10.6 20-1
11 10 Cruise Control 20.00 10.7 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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