October 10, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Verbal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Provocateur | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruthenian | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nyquest Nix | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galt | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Payback Period (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skylander | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Parquetry | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Forced Ranking | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | R Doc | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Illuminato | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Samurai | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Raw Courage | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Workingman’s Dude | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heads Or Tails | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vision Board | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Pietre | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Stepper | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marie’s Tuff Son | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Summer Bourbon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win With Pride | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aristocratic | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confectioner | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speeding Kid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | First Homestead | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Abaan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onenightstandards | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cold Hard Cash | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quid | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shady McGee (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dust Devil | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shore Magic | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Fidget | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ashaar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Futurity S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chi Town Lady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poppy Flower | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slipstream | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Worker | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biz Biz Buzz | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Curtis Run | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kavod | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to March | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Beldame S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Horologist | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Flag | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gold Spirit (CHI) | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spice Is Nice | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Marissa | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zaajel | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thankful | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Darn Hot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hoboken Jack | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire Station | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | El Veinticuatro | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Light Work | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Jeremy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phoebe’s Frosty | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kong Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Rock Bay | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Knickerbocker S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | L’Imperator (FR) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sacred Life (FR) | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking the Rules | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Field Pass | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | En Wye Cee | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | No Word | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Temple | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corelli | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Bromance | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Deferred Taxes | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Deregulation (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | My Boy Colton | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Ember | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bail Out | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Prayer Book | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Canyouhearmenow | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Raising Sand | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 11 | Chevauchee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 16 | Ocean Deep | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Devour | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Everesting | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Corkman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Booker T | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Battle Map | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Theregoesmymiracle | 30.00 | 16 | 30-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.