October 9, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matoula | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong Point | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Anthem | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angeloverthepulpit | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Laoban | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Decreed | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Belle Gosse | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spicer | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Boat | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vagaries (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eileen Gray | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hope Over Fear | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shad Nation | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Joy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roboz | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hatari | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Surprise | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | S Oh S | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Early Glow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Briggs | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blu Grotto | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giocare | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | F F Rocket | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Gun Tommy | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boldish | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Andrew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sky and Sand | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zandon | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chanceux | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Piccadilly | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Matt Doyle | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Boy Cheekum | 50.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fishing for Fun | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Vosburgh S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baby Yoda | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Firenze Fire | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Following Sea | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Effort (IRE) | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jalen Journey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Matron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Danae | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bubble Rock | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gal in a Rush | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makin My Move | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dufresne | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Club | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mainstay | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Arabian | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Eyes | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poppy Flower | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Chi Town Lady | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Benbang | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arklow | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rockemperor (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serve the King (GB) | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cross Border | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Japan (GB) | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gufo | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Channel Maker | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sheriff Bianco | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle George | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Neuro | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Troubadour | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brockmoninoff | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Samay | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Smoke | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Volkert | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | More Like It | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Masked Marauder | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Constant Knight | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Villainous | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby I’m Perfect | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Pass It Up | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grumps Little Tots | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cantrell Hill | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Counter Offer | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddy Knows | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Heavy Roller | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Parade Field | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nothing Better | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Package | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voodoo Zip | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Duress | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Artemus Citylimits | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystery Messenger | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chocolate Bar | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shekky Shebaz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Noble Emotion | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seanan | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sandro the Great | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Eight Weeks Long | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flintshire’s Rock | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Viking Zim | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tackle | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wicked Karma | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crossing Verazanno | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pivotal Run | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brian’s Mission | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Artie’s Lit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Shutters | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bohemian Ruby | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Brennan’s War | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bay Defense | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostmon | 12.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.