October 8, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | She’s the One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Should B Dancing | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Cali Fitz | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Acushla | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holiday Jazz | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Gaze | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Road to Remember | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Arduously | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Favorite Impulse | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shamrocked | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Drive | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flowers for Lisa | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapizearance | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Dansky | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Karen’s Cove | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Analyze It | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Tea Time | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sanctuary City | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hawkish | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Danny California | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sweet as Pie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Force | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Everyoneloveslinda | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Celestial | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oh Mrs. Maisel | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Diane | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Continentalcongres | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ace Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | London Gold | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Saratoga Chrome | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solib | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cupere | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Preposterous | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | N Y Fancy | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jannie Mae | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Samhradh | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skyward Princess | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rcaptivating | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pals Ally | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Regal Quality | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kumar | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Playwright | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mountain | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paul the Waiter | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Shortandsimple | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hushion | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marble Moon | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obsessed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Funwhileitlasted | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hohohoho | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kemba | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Melissa | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Woodbine Way | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coalition Building | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fraudulent Charge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cadeau de Paix | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mia Bea Star | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Stormi Cat Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jasminesque | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Khali Magic | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take It Off | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A Ring Thing | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sudden Impulse | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Great Workout | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purple Hearted | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Man Mike | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Emperor’s Cause | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clever Fellow | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Castle | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Troubleshooter | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Gravy | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Chalice | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Run for Boston | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Russiarussiarussia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let Ur Light Shine | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Lynne | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady of Thoroton | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shigeko | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enjoy Summer | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pave My Way | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tara Dancer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Neglect No More | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Diversion | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.