Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 7, 2021

October 7, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Forest Falcon 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mi Tormenta 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Shishka 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Nice Company 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Little Miss Cat 4.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Honey Girl 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Maxima Only 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Parable 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Dynamic Contrast 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Crafty Conquest 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Yola 2.50 3.2 6-1
9 9 Dealmaker 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Bachelor Pad 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Dancing Derek 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Tall Water 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Tomcat Black 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Yzerman 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Better Boogie 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cheek to Cheek 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Hurricane Dancer 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Ben Lomond 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Hallie’s Hero 6.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Bay of Rum 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Fast Negotiations 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Blockbuster 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 Rocket Plan 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Call Me Wally 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thatnightintoronto 8.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Cedar Valley 4.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Forty Smooth 4.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Fionnuala 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Gwen 12.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Sky of Dreams 3.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 I’m Not Perfect 8.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Suspicious Minds 12.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Jolene Jolene 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Jolie Davina 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Total Betty 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 High Heat 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Soul Freedom 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Coltons Dream 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Souper River 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Executive Holiday 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Bokermin 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Commander Tom 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Adelaide Court 20.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Ante Up Alex 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Highland Society 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Carmenootz 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Honey Won’t 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Silent Flash 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Salvator Mundi 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Reconfigure 2.50 4 8-1
7 7 Dotted Line 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Souper Success 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Silent Jimmie 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Where’s Anthony 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Forester’s Turn 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kiddie Holiday 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 October Frost 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Hey Mickey 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Late Surge 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tragically Funny 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Timmins 12.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lac Macaza 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Auksine Kulka 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Ethnic Soul 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Funiculi 4.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Breach of Trust 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Hiatus 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Blue Max 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Red Mavrik 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Newport Agent 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Arafat 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Chancel 15.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Benlion 15.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Racing in the Rain 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Magic Spin 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.