Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, October 4, 2021

October 4, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 On Temple High 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Admiral Eastwood 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Anzio Beach 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 The Reign Man 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Seven Plus Seven 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dougie 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Dr. Grunseich 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Arrivederci 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Synergized 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Kid Macho 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Superhighway 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Rings of Jupiter 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sparty 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Devine Dental 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Valerie First 1.80 3.1 6-1
6 6 Wings of Fury 4.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sweet Blame 3.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Dirty Bird 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Quiet Please 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Miss Loyalty 8.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Cotton Candy Cutie 6.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fly Fly Bird 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Fiftyshadesofrun 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Princess Emma Jo 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Golden Tabby 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Veinte 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Our Uptown Girl 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Cousin Marie 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Charly’s Choo Choo 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Almashriq 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Race Craft 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Lavery 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 One Nation 1.60 3.1 6-1
4 4 Danzafied 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Pategory One 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Respect for All 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 My Cousin Rich 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Not a Postino 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Bode O 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Stella’s Tour 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Nicky Da Fox 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Call Home 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Celtic Heart 15.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shesalittle Edgy 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Decoupage 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Secondary Market 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Tara’s Talent 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Dr B 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 I’m the Talent 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 My Boy Tate 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Hopeful Treasure 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Tringale 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Prendimi 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Dontmesawithme 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Absentee 8.00 5 10-1
1 1 Powerful Ally 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Midnightcharly 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wick 3.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Patriot’s War 1.80 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bavaria 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Spirit Wolf 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Commissioner Dave 12.00 5 10-1
1 1 Sinashack 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Bedazzling 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Blazing Island 12.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.