October 3, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Unzip Me S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zero Tolerance | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burgoo Alley (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carpe Fortuna | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brilliant Cut | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thrilling | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Equilove (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Costa Rica | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hamwood Flier (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Street Ruckus | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Abama (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Offlee Naughty | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rio Ocho (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Great | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Scout | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Giraffe | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Pass | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spinning Plates | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Sway | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sangre Azul | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mohawk King (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lane Way | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Commander Khai | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly the Sky | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Newpark (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Prez | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gregory’s Pride | 6.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cherubic Factor | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Elusive Treat (GB) | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rookie Mistake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Star Racer | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Fight On | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Chillingworth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scotish Star (ARG) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Emma | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ce Ce | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On Deck | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyes Open | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Vita | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warrens Candy Girl | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Square | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Clare | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Del Mar Flash | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Eddie’s New Dream | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Mama Sue | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unusual Ride | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lena’s Big Day | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Stretch | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winning Map | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir London | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marco Polo | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Wave James | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Limitation | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katonah | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clampett | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Silver Surfer (GB) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirty Four Coupe | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mackinnon | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Picota (GB) | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Il Capitano | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aquitania Arrival | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carbonite | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Law Abiding | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Birth of Cool | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Deuxieme Etoile | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Zenyatta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | As Time Goes By | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Private Mission | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Sound | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Kook | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Bigly | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Samurai Charm | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Kate | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Stormy D | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Helens Well (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Dove | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saturday Nite Girl | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairo Memories | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dolly May (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hemmerle | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Bellatrix | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brandon’smylawyer | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s Simple | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sax | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.