Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 3, 2021

October 3, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Without a View 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Super Fine 2.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Lluvia 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Only Time 12.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Wildcat Star 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Political Astray 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Lady Younes 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Noble Present 30.00 9 17-1
6 6 Numeric 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wandering West 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Gods Promise 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Boldness 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Frankie Z 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Uno Tiger 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Meteorito 12.00 7 13-1
3 3 Hierro 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Beloved Warrior 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Creative Kid 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Merlin 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Granny Makes Cents 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Cosmo Paul 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Wildcat Echo 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Grand Sir 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 J D’s Vista 2.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Princess Tereska 3.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Miss Yaya 5.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 G T’s Blue Squall 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Rubysa 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Party Swagger 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sade Purse 10.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Mavi 30.00 7 13-1
3 3 Ma Coco 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Cajun Spice 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Elusive Molly 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 5 Twilight 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Simplify (ARG) 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Miszlo 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Heiressindy 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Princess Secret 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shiny Empire 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Corey 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Diligent 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Churchills Victory 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Mr. Axel 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Nitro Time 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Long Beach Kid 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Cuy 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pork Chop 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Mr Mac Quhae 4.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Neophyte 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Knights Bird 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Skipperini 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Smokin Bow 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Captain Cajun 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Pemberton 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Inner Wave 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Isadorable Aida 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Passion Plus 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 All Quality 3.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Meet the Beauty 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Snow Shower (GB) 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Wonder Blondy 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Free Data 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Lady Dominance 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Indicia 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mr. Einstein 4.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Ziggy 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Billy Yank 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Chucky 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Sandy Dude 12.00 3 6-1
7 7 Super Sniper 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Congrats Again 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Linguist 30.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Nona Rac 20.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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