Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 2, 2021

October 2, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trip to Cairo 10.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Iron Pearls 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Fore On Seven 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Rebel Victory 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 One Most Wanted 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Barrister 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Royalian 2.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Now I’m Broke 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chambo 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 American Piper 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Tales of Saratoga 12.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Despite Odds 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Tradition 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Alpha Queue 8.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 James’s Moonshine 3.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Eric’s Empire 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Laurel Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ready to Purrform 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 City At Night 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Wow Whata Summer 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Stride 4.50 6.5 12-1
5 5 Wish Me Home 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Epic Luck 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Determined Kingdom 5.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 High Stock 4.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 King of Hollywood 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – All Along S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scatrattleandroll 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Take Charge Tina 30.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Sweet Sami D 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Niceno 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tuned (GB) 1.20 5.2 10-1
2 2 Oyster Box 1.60 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tale of Dixie 20.00 4 8-1
8 8 Ingreido 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Gator Fifty Two 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Sing a Verse 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Little Bay 30.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Aperitivo 6.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Muchacho Macho 6.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Clever and Great 4.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 Natty Beau 4.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 More Twirl 8.00 9.4 18-1
3 3 Distant Thunder 12.00 10.2 19-1
9 9 Warm Sunny Breeze 6.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Selima S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Determined Charm 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Hedy Lamarr 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sparkle Blue 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Evangeline Allons 30.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Luna Antonia 12.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 She’s Like Thunder 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Petition Prayer 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Consumer Spending 1.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Paynt by Number 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Laurel Dash S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Valued Notion 30.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Battle Station 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Fiber and Emily 50.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Smooth B 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 So Street 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Grateful Bred 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Cannon’s Roar 12.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Xy Speed 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Francatelli 3.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Boldor 4.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 The Connector 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Matta 6.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Epic Run 20.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Algonquin 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mohaafeth 15.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Roulette 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Starrystarryknight 5.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Lidstrom 2.50 5 9-1
7 7 Call It Love 2.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Japan Turf Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Thread of Blue 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tide of the Sea 1.20 4.1 8-1
6 6 Johng 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Gunnison 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Real Factor 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Hierarchy 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Oceans Map 4.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Minnetonka 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Digital Dream 15.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Flava’s Dream 20.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Live Aid 15.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Vanquisher 6.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Tam Char 15.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Crystalology 6.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Awesome Jazz 3.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Our Strong Vows 15.00 9.4 18-1
14 14 Bourbon Wildcat 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Practically Dizzy 15.00 10.9 21-1
12 12 Hope Has a Name 12.00 11 21-1
3 3 Castilleja 4.50 12.4 23-1
9 9 Hufflepuff 10.00 12.7 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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