Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 30, 2021

September 30, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Courvoisier 1.80 1.3 2-1
4 4 Rich’s Way 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Bold Medication 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Mugsy Malone 6.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Economizer 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Sterling Hill 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Classy 1.80 2.6 5-1
8 8 Lady Lynne 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Moniques Daredevil 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Courageous Grace 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Promise of Joy 3.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Kirby 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Catirusia 10.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Mashugana 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Fred’s Sheila 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Coatandtierequired 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Valiant Gabe 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 Nato 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Night Boss 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Captured Dreams 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Shed a Tear 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Instant Chaos 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Dontforgettoblink 1.80 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bastien Le Brown 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 A Penn Legacy 10.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Kiang 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Quad Eights 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Saafen 1.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 My Freedom 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Runner 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Mister Mister 15.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nevisian Spirit 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Bird Tycoon 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Glovanna 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Jumpstartmyheart 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Ghostly Beauty 4.50 6 11-1
2 2 Alin Azul 12.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 My Little Rosy 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Sundrenched 15.00 8.1 15-1
1 1 Rockstar Girl 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Chit Chat Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Pride Leader 12.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 No Sniveling 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Awesome Alana 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Fairy Wish 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Mortal Storm 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Canoochee 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tink 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Special Risk 6.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Square Peg 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Trifor Gold 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 1 Somekindofmagician 3.50 4.8 9-1
10 11 Soulmate 2.50 5.1 10-1
1 6 Super Dude 8.00 7.6 14-1
1A 7 Thundershook 8.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Sandy Lane Kitten 12.00 8.2 16-1
4 3 Jack the Umpire 6.00 8.3 16-1
7 8 Rileys Dude 10.00 SCRATCH
11 12 My Boy Lenny 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Entertainment 8.00 9.7 18-1
6 5 Taxable Goods 15.00 10.7 20-1
9 10 Mt Suribachi 10.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hot to Party 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Truly a Dream 4.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Cocktails At Eight 2.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Cool Stance 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Alys Great Notion 8.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Lady Tizmo 8.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Normalizeddeviance 15.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Offlee Graysful 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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