Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, September 28, 2021

September 28, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Divine Choice 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Sweet Savage 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Irish Jumper 4.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Miss Jasser 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Government Girl 10.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Get Over It 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 J Wass 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Comfortably Cool 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Refi 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Slew Tang Clan 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Martial Eagle 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 American River (VEN) 10.00 8 15-1
2 2 Wye Mumbo 10.00 8 15-1
3 3 El Dulzura 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 They Shot Sonny 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Ruby Bleu 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Roan Mountain 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Big Bad Bud 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Honorable Service 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Irish Colonel 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Dream of Warrior 3.00 1 2-1
8 7 Mr. Tuttle 3.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Russian Runner 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Master of War 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Uptown Shoes 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Austin Whylie 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Impossebull 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Dinna Fash 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Subsidiary 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 Tokyo 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 4 Tomarie 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tweety Kitten 20.00 10 19-1
2 2 Natoma 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Current Situation 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Janelle Dreams 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Postino’s Idol 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Five Alarm Robin 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Instinctive 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Strawberry Red 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 4 Fried Rice King 4.00 2 4-1
7 5 Trusting Friend 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 3 Dubrovsky 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Out of Line 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 6 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Forman the Foreman 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Dr. Devera’s Way 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vino Y Queso 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Funny Enough 2.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Bellswillberinging 4.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Super Duper Fly 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 A Bit Bad N Boujee 12.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Brooklyn Heights 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 God Still Loves Me 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 She’sfirstclass 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 9 Why Why Paul Why 1.60 1 2-1
13 8 Social Group 4.00 3 6-1
2 1 Mean Machine 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 2 Lease 6.00 4.6 9-1
11 6 Bellarmine Hall 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 3 Get Set 8.00 6.2 12-1
9 4 Know It Now 12.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Screen Saver 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Black Light 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Pylon 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rebel Traveller 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Artistic Endeavor 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Mongolian Hero 5.00 SCRATCH
10 5 Successful Cure 15.00 11.9 23-1
12 7 Voy a Ti 20.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mass Appeal 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Big City Ralph 4.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Hard West 4.50 1.9 4-1
10 10 Goldenlineof 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mach Trial 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Lawyer Roy 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Smart Royal T 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Don’t Make It Easy 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Thomas Knight 15.00 10 19-1
6 6 Staynsidethecircle 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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