September 28, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Divine Choice | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Savage | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Jumper | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Jasser | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Government Girl | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Get Over It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | J Wass | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comfortably Cool | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Refi | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slew Tang Clan | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Martial Eagle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American River (VEN) | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wye Mumbo | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Dulzura | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | They Shot Sonny | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ruby Bleu | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roan Mountain | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Bad Bud | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Honorable Service | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Colonel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Dream of Warrior | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Tuttle | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russian Runner | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Master of War | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uptown Shoes | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Austin Whylie | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impossebull | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dinna Fash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Subsidiary | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tokyo | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tomarie | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tweety Kitten | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natoma | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Current Situation | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Janelle Dreams | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Postino’s Idol | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Five Alarm Robin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Instinctive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Strawberry Red | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fried Rice King | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Trusting Friend | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dubrovsky | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Out of Line | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forman the Foreman | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vino Y Queso | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Enough | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bellswillberinging | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Duper Fly | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Bit Bad N Boujee | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Heights | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | God Still Loves Me | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She’sfirstclass | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 9 | Why Why Paul Why | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Social Group | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mean Machine | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lease | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Bellarmine Hall | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Get Set | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Know It Now | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Screen Saver | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Black Light | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Pylon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Rebel Traveller | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Artistic Endeavor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mongolian Hero | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Successful Cure | 15.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Voy a Ti | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mass Appeal | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big City Ralph | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard West | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goldenlineof | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mach Trial | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lawyer Roy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smart Royal T | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Make It Easy | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thomas Knight | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Staynsidethecircle | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.