September 26, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Be Like Clint | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Thoughts | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Day Tripper | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daniel Sun | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mad Mocha | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bartica | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stealth Mission | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spigetinmtzaballs | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Soul Body | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Chi Too | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Innocent Moves | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Calm Down | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sailor’s Passion | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | When We Connect | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Magic | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J M R Jax | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Treasure Quest | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zia Mo | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | English Biscuit | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | La Princessa Polly | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Essa Star | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silenzio | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Humorus Holiday | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honey Girl | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gigi’s Gift | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | I’m Dashing | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Long Pond | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wenjack | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dr. Green | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lumberjack | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Infamous Covert | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dancers Ghost | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tourist’s Dream | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dixiewish | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thanks Laura | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Topoftheglen | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silentanddiscreet | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Bird | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shelly the Rocket | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allpaidup | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Kitty | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sassywithattitude | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Erratique | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Similar Taste | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Brown Brewskii | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Drop a Caribou | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Farewell | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afikoman | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Saw | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rapid Reload | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Take Charge Gent | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ultimate Answer | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wild River Wolf | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Forittable | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Where Is Essa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maverick Man | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Grazely | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carl G | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifth Season | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | English Classic | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stop the Humbug | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Yorktown | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liverpool Man | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copinsay | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ammunition | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flame Zapper | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Download | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hell Bent | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hitters Park | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mas Chikilin | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brass Compass | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Sight | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Frog | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mia’s Extortionist | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Beanstalk | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weisser | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thor’s Thunder | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beyond My Dreams | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Punch Charlie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Over the Hills | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Better Boogie | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Cool | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mane Society | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unlimited Talent | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jojomar | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Sansa’s Vow | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Perseverancia | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Vision | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dictate | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silent Causeway | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Say Hey (FR) | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | November Fog | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Teacher’s Pet | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bossalina | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Little Voodoo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.