September 26, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Press Briefing | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palace Prince | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Very Irish | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whatsittoya | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dapper | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Achilleus | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | I’m the Boss of Me | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unbreakable | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trouville | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Northern Gem | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La V. | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swamp’n Ain’t Ez | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Desert Swarm | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Trumper | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Around the Dial | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wink and a Dream | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Seeker | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kidmon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Captain N. Barron | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whisky My God (ARG) | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiz Love | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Two Bills | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reedley | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No More Fireball | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Older Brother | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Restoring Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Medusa’s Gaze | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bandeena | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aristeia | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Points | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Rose | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grigoro | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can Fly | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Taming the Tigress | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Righteously | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dee Gee | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Vegan | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Donut Girl | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mira Loma Madam | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delta Wind | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Royal Owl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rock N Rye | 1.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Always | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carmen Miranda | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Drizella | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Wedding Chapel | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Artisan Dancer | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Admiral Aeschbach | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Varick | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run Auntie T Run | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Youteyourhonor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Daniel’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Keeping Tradition | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Connelly | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Margaret | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | So Cal Memory | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gates of Heaven | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Too Late | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joe Don Looney | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Teton Valley | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Single Me Out | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | See Through It | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bam Bam Again | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Thief in the Night | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tribal War Chant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 98 | Star Racer | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Redaction | 50.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Try to Capture | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mariners Way | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Durango | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Mischief | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Democrat | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Flatter | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Catfish Charlie | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Humboldt | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocketcent | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | He Gotcha | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Eighteen Maverick | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.