Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 26, 2021

September 26, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shalimar Gardens 0.80 1 2-1
2 2 Tekila 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Big City Momma 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 My Sunny Valentine 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Violent Vixen 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Boss Cara 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Sandro the Great 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Viking Zim 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Ghostmon 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pivotal Run 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Noble Journey 6.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 War Novel 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Arrowheart 12.00 6.3 12-1
16 16 Reunion Tour 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Cox’s Ledge 15.00 8.1 15-1
12 12 Straight Skinny 15.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Shutters 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Addicted to You 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Remembermom 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wicked Karma 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Brian’s Mission 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mambonick 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Rogers Ginger 1.60 1 2-1
1A 9 Rudy Rod 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Partner’s Hope 2.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Voter Protection 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Uncle Mo’s Cat 10.00 4 7-1
9 10 Mister J T 10.00 4 7-1
3 2 Thruster 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Theregoesmymiracle 30.00 10 19-1
5 5 Beckenbauer 30.00 10 19-1
8 8 Motion to Strike 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Bertram F. Bongard S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Senbei 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Whittington Park 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Shipsational 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Happy Happy B 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Surprise Boss 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Silky Blue 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Jill’s a Hot Mess 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Timeless Journey 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Fetching 6.00 5.3 10-1
12 9 Kreesie 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 2 Pure Bode 8.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Beautiful Karen 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mike’s Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Honey Money 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Prairie Fire 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Fair Regis 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Itsakeyper 12.00 11.8 22-1
5 4 Party At Page’s 12.00 11.8 22-1
8 7 Kinky Sox 12.00 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 12 Let Her Inspire U 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Pimenova 4.00 2.1 4-1
12 11 Venti Valentine 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Silver Fist 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Try It Again 6.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Trinity Titoli 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Shane’s Risk 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Sister Linda 15.00 8.4 16-1
8 7 Know It All Audrey 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 10 Take Charge Lisa 15.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Liberty Flame 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Laochi 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Grannys Connection 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Twist Just Right 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Cindy’s Choice 20.00 11.3 21-1
3 3 She’s a Mia 30.00 16 30-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Prefect 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 4 Made My Day (IRE) 3.00 1.6 3-1
11 10 Public Information 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Agent Creed 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Voliero 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Royal Realm 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Silver Token 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Sidd Finch 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Count Down 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Regality 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Gateway Guardian 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rocco Strong 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Road to Success 1.80 SCRATCH
6 5 Justintimeforwine 20.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Hurricane Andrew 30.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 My Lips Are Sealed 3.50 1.3 2-1
13 12 Just Ok Is Not Ok 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Marvelous Maude 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 3 English Breeze 8.00 3.8 7-1
11 10 Unicorn Sally 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 Lookin to Fly 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Raining Candy 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Golden Oldie 12.00 6 11-1
10 9 Home for Christmas 12.00 6 11-1
1 13 Caramocha 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 15 Chasing Cara 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Amity Island 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Epona’s Dream 20.00 10.4 20-1
12 11 Masterof the Tunes 20.00 10.4 20-1
9 8 Stuy Town Baby 30.00 15 28-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Gallant Bloom H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bella Sofia 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Lake Avenue 1.40 1.2 2-1
5 5 Don’t Call Me Mary 6.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Lady Rocket 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Honor Way 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Back Channel 3.50 1 2-1
9 8 Theodora Grace 4.00 1.3 2-1
7 6 Athena Dancer 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Lucky Latkes 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 High School Crush 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Appreciate 12.00 5.5 10-1
11 10 Mazal Eighteen 12.00 5.5 10-1
13 12 Happy Hill Lil 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Adele Kat 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 3 Ava K’s Girl 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 5 Beyond Brown 20.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Fort Drum 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Fifth Risk 4.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Proper Grammar 30.00 14 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.