September 25, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 1.20 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Black Album (FR) | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unthrottled | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Engram | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gordy’s Boy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Roadside | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Borkan | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eight Makar | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mongol Altai | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gone Awol | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Williams Dream | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lookout Point | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charter Oak | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Recaptured Freedom | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gemini Bay | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | After the Candy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Len’s Luck | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mesa Empire | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stay Happy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Sea | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awhitesportscoat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rinse and Repeat | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Studly Perfection | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Ali | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskimo Roses | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castle Gate | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Around the Dial | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Back Ring Luck | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Pickles | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Launch Pad | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goldeneyed | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Man On the Moon | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Northern Gem | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sauls Call | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barsabas | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City of Champions | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Double the Gold | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Im Still Thirsty | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shortman | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Thru the Hole | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dadstar | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Heaven’s Music | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tizlightning | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curling Secret | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookinformischief | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Arthur Spooner | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laker Barry | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Summanus | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Trapalis | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tribal Dancing | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Real Pouch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Risk and Reward | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Margot’s Boy | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tizhotndusty | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Willy the Cobbler | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Signofthecross | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | On Raglan Road | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Beat | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Youonlylivetwice | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Philly Lishes | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beirut Beauty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Tigress | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Backtoflash | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Turf Kitty | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mongolian Baby | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liberty Liberty | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Beautiful World | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Allison’s Surprise | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Scream and Shout | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Speedy Lou C | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.