September 24, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Half Past Twelve | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sally Stanford | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lilly Babe | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Allwinedup | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | We All Agree | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shardial | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mayhem and Chaos | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raisebeforetheflop | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here’s My Point | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perfecto Amor | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Me Macho | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marino Heat | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kristi’s Tiger | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoothlikebuttah | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Ice | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Miss Ellie | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Moon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Defiant | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Sottocapo | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Suzie Qzz Brother | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crash Corrigan | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Head for Business | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zero Down | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pick Your Bid | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Devil Be Me | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Moon Circumference | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 98 | Pyeong Chang | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rev Rita | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Fia | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queengol | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Founder’s Day | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liv and Let Liv | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Mistress | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Full Draw | 0.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salah | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Musketier | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capper | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He Be Dangerous | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cibertruck | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | W. Whitehouse | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Lucky Spell S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ginja | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Caraway | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Livingmybestlife | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pizzazz | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stella Noir | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Back Beauty | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maggie’s Magic | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Darling Demon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stradari | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Street Flyer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Island Life | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Durga | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thanks | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Season to Remember | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.