September 24, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bustin Bay | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extra Effort | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ok Honey | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cover Photo | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Mi Mi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mostly Harmless | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cee Are Em | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Purrfect Mistress | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Exchange Road | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Wild Ride | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlottesometimes | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | London Gold | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Landslid | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ashley T. Cole S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | City Man | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiergan | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Jokers | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Therapist | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Graded On a Curve | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lord Flintshire | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sanctuary City | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Kisses for Val | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | D’vinicris | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battle Map | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rickys Revenge | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Mischief | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Grand Son | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flipping Fun | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Yah Huh | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alite | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take It Off | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Left Leaning Lucy | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quasar | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rosey’s Peach | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chloe Rose | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Sophia | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pendolino | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Misbehaved | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conclusive | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | St. Lukes | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fromanothamutha | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Judge Davis | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vodka Mardini | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Bomber | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Immokalee | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Water’s Edge | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barrage | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Horn of Plenty | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saratoga Flash | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Work Out | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Chrome Dixie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Kringle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Albie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Masked Marauder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Chulainn | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Joseph A. Gimma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Shesawildjoker | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Edition | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adversity | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Velvet Sister | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | November Rein | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Tiny Dancer | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 6 | Tough Workout | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Crossing Verazanno | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tamburro’s Sox | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Mikro | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Distractandattack | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 11 | Brew Pub | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Big Brown Shoes | 1.40 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Sandor Clegane | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Jack’s Dream | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freudian Analyst | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Arms an Armor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | I Gen | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Data Deal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tempesta | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 8 | Remembermom | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taco Bean | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.