September 20, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ms Canela | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Going Going Gone | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Constitution | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grimhilde | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risque’s Jewel | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Corbally | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | James Ciro | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Superhighway | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boston Light | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Special | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cape May Style | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classified Info | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sheknowsthedrill | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Abhaile | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Iza One | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Metro Girl | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Money | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Congaree Rose | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marianna Queen | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Burn and Turn | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weight of Glory | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doublepour | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Built | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commissioner G | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maine | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speight | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kerik | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choose Happiness | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tilsa | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Walk Me Home | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light Up Night | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aegean Sea | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gingers Wish | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Goldenlineof | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Star Luck | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glacier Express | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Coup | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cobble Hill | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend in Court | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Syndrome | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Walsh | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Bluff | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Masai Man | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Strum and Pluck | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Noble Endeavor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Jet | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Fly Zone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Grandfire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Frosted Indian | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Midlaner | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exit Right | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plamen | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Bob | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Riviera | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jw’s Third Mischie | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Thrifty | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Hero | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Colonel Juan | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hibachi | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lord Winsalot | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ridin With Biden | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Runningforhome | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brilliant Chase | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galerio | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Tiddly Wink | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Niangua | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | He Runs the Line | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunshine Tommy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crossover | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Factum Love Style | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missed the Bus | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prefontaine | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Gray for Carolyn | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cruise Control | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | North Yorkshire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Duck Ducky Goose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Hodler | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.