Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 20, 2021

September 20, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ms Canela 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Going Going Gone 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Miss Constitution 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Grimhilde 1.80 2.9 5-1
2 2 Risque’s Jewel 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Corbally 12.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 James Ciro 4.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Superhighway 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Boston Light 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Quality Special 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Cape May Style 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Classified Info 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sheknowsthedrill 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Abhaile 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Iza One 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Go Metro Girl 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 American Money 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Congaree Rose 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Marianna Queen 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Burn and Turn 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Weight of Glory 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Doublepour 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Victory Built 2.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Commissioner G 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Maine 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Speight 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kerik 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Choose Happiness 1.60 2.9 5-1
5 5 Tilsa 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Walk Me Home 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Light Up Night 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Aegean Sea 10.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Gingers Wish 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Goldenlineof 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Star Luck 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Glacier Express 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Royal Coup 5.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Cobble Hill 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Weekend in Court 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Speed Syndrome 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. Walsh 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 The Big Bluff 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 5 Masai Man 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Strum and Pluck 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 4 Noble Endeavor 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Hollywood Jet 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 No Fly Zone 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Grandfire 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Frosted Indian 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Midlaner 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Exit Right 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Plamen 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Fast Bob 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Irish Riviera 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Jw’s Third Mischie 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Mr Thrifty 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Lucky Hero 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Colonel Juan 8.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Hibachi 10.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Lord Winsalot 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 3 Ridin With Biden 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 1 Runningforhome 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Brilliant Chase 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Galerio 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Tiddly Wink 3.50 4.5 9-1
11 10 Niangua 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 He Runs the Line 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Sunshine Tommy 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Crossover 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 7 Factum Love Style 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 Missed the Bus 20.00 8 15-1
9 8 Prefontaine 12.00 8 15-1
2 2 A Gray for Carolyn 4.50 8.1 15-1
5 5 Cruise Control 20.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 North Yorkshire 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Duck Ducky Goose 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hodler 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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