September 19, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brimage | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Set the Tone | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Reno | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sip Sip Hooray | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Assunta | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Finglas Lad | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La’och Aloysius | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Medina Man | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cortezano | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Explain This Audit | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Alchemy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Vetoed | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Somewhere | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sumo | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disco Ball | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nothngoodcomseasy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sabuda | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Among Men | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Palaleo | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Right | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Fame | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Squalotoro | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rayray | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Suances Secret | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Magic On Tap | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Endeavor | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leading Score | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Border Town | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manhattan Up | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sash (GB) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Secret Square | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Ice Storm | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gotta Be Lucky | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mongolian Window | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chollima | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Promnesia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cowboys Daughter | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fi Fi Pharoah | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loud Loud Music | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cover Version | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frose | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizno’s Dilemma | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dark Mirage S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Paige Anne | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Samurai Charm | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Velvet Slippers | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Harper’s Gallop | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Candura | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Sweep | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ronamo | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phantom Dance | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rookie Year | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | C Falls | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Next Revolt | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Club Cal | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gov From Above | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Legend | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | General Mathis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.