September 17, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Theluteismine | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winding | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Around the Dial | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No More Fireball | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Seeker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Socially Smart | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Devil’s Messenger | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flipping Fast | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Assignation | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Koko’s Mom | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Island Life | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Renella | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Win Often | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Your Royal Coil | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Casillalater | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Plum Wild | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pasito | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Cat | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jamminjl | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Verrazano | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charming Life | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aspen Shade | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Draw Munnings | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oubabe | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grazen in the Park | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Erebus | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disobey | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sippin N Kissin | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shes Bout a Mover | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sugar Sugar | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Delia Mo | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talkative Gal | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Macho Queen | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Steps | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Synthesis | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truth Seeker | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leprino | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luck of the Draw | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man On the Moon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Equity | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsthattime | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Measureofdevotion | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Sonny | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aristeia | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | River Girl | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mamma Rama | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crookhaven Lass | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dual Reality | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slew’s Screen Star | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.