Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 17, 2021

September 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Federal Exchange 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Backatya 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Super Necessary 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Regio 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Rio Hato 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Bowstring Boy 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Gus K 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Splash of Force 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Opalina 2.50 1.9 4-1
10 6 Royal Rocker 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Capetown Candy 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 5 Grand Venus 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 3 Fish Mooney 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 4 Rachel Dream 50.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Castle Born 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Baby Blue 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Kumandra 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Luli’s Dancer 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Babe 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Pretty Rachel 1.40 3.4 6-1
1 1 I’m a Coco Pebbles 2.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Lovin Livin 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Queen Street 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lyrical 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Miss Italy 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sneaky Cheeky 1.40 2.7 5-1
1 1 Miss Bluebird 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Arete’s Chalice 3.00 3.2 6-1
10 8 Libertalia 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Brass Band 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Miami Souvenirs 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Rough Enough 30.00 7.7 14-1
5 4 Veronicus 30.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Hypnotizer 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Poiema 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eye of a Jedi 1.60 2 4-1
3 3 Glory of Florida 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Scar 4.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Squeezadios 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Cool Arrow 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Quenane 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Drop a Hint 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Nikee Kan 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Palomita 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Romantic Tale 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Silver Tunes 10.00 6 11-1
4 4 Mighty Electrica 15.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Awsum Roar 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hard Ten 3.00 2.9 6-1
10 9 Feeling Dangerous 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Samaronti 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Eastern Symphony 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Macho Real 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Bad Boy E. J. 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Gods Blessing 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Mountain King 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Acaseaday 50.00 8.7 17-1
9 9 Malibu Mandate 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Brasstown 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Trappezoid 1.80 2.4 4-1
2 2 Nacho Papa 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 County Court 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Malibu Max 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Meade 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Aycapote 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reneesdreamgirl 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Wow Tapit 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Black Silk 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 My d’Valentine 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Numeric 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Miss Inez 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Penny Angel 15.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 Noble Present 30.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Suspiciously Sweet 50.00 9.3 18-1
5 5 Solar Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Cagua 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Designed to Dazzle 1.40 SCRATCH
11 10 Da Furious Cat 50.00 10.1 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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