September 17, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marble Moon | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapalist | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kumar | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hammerin Aamer | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ekhtibaar | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heavy Roller | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Revenio | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Balthus (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Silence | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am the Law | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proven Innocent | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Connagh’s Quay | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megayacht | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canyouhearmenow | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Maoilin | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Delicious | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Grace | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Primacy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halo City | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trinni Luck | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love and Love | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Alittleloveandluck | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss You Ella | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Splitsecondsonny | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Old School (GB) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 4 | Early Glow | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Diamond Hands | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Haughty | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Gal in a Rush | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Midnight Stroll | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Nostalgic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hot Fudge | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Martini’s Amica | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Sand Dancer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Seismic Wave | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Attentive | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Troubling Moon | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Artemus Bridge | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tizzarunner | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Soulmate | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zoomer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Whistling Birds | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Twisted Tom | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cantrell Hill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Afjan | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Protonic Power | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cairama | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Life Is Great | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atlantic Dancer | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Backnthewoods | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Hard to Touch | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Swing District | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 4 | Systemic Change | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Carpe’s Dream | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Allied Forces S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big Everest (GB) | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin’ Jay | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arzak | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Momos | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Two Zone | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swashbuckle | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jaxon Traveler | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ranger Fox | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Christiecat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Tuscan Queen | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Honey Pants | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Can’t Buy Love | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Bye Bye | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bay Storm | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Orbs Baby Girl | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Caldee | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sussex Garden (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Union Gables | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Patty H | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bonana Fanna Foe | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Know It All Red | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Idalisa | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Ms Scarlet | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captivating Cara | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tellaperfecttale | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reeley Psyched | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Rose | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormi Cat Lady | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.