Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 16, 2021

September 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barbara 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Flourishing 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Yes I’m Spiteful 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Mia Rosa 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Straight to Go 2.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Storm Dream 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Whiterose Spirit 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Aleida 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Unbridled Chrome 30.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 He’ssosubtle 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Vancouver d’Oro 1.40 2.4 5-1
1 1 Clownshoe 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Power G 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Corporate Affair 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Indeed Indeed 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Rogative 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Earth 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Marcelino 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Graceful Kitten 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Gran Saman 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Long Blade 3.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Reagan’s Heart 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Black Jet 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Kobe Fifty Two 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Gumwrapper 30.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Splicer 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Only Girl 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Oodles On Fire 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Amazin Queen 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Island Winter 2.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Alright Already 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 More Mucho 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Tone Elise 30.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Bella Romance 50.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nacho Mama 2.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Kamar Taj 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Liza Star 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Princess Secret 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Loriloupies 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Simplify (ARG) 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rayo Colorado 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 More Adventurous 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Procurador 5.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Go Cristian 4.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Regal Holiday 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Bad Gus 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Rayo 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 On Jet Heir 15.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Wow Run 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Star Juancho 3.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Vinnie Van Go 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mister Luigi 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 One Fast 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 The Ice Beast 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Green Mansions 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Gangly 10.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Handsome Prince 12.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 First Rule 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Paintbrush 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Sum Return 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Brody’s Causeway 4.50 2.8 5-1
10 10 Had a Nice Weekend 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Dolce Aprile 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Miss Youniverse 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Irish Samurai 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Tea’s Dream 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Lluvia 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Dolcisima 30.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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