September 13, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thurman Merman | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kevin Witte | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kukulkan | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Iwishiwaspecial | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Danube | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brooks Robinson | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Emma’s Waltz | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Gabe | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dontforgettoblink | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commander Biz | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mugsy Malone | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Charles | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Dialer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Charge It | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nevisian Spirit | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Little Rosy | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hetty G. | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pride Leader | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chit Chat Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jumpin Jett | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tink | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sundrenched | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Sniveling | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | R Averie Lynn | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Winterthur | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promise of Joy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maliciosa | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yeyetzi | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fred’s Sheila | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Kefaliani | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Status Asthmaticus | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Style | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Novel Idea | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moon Boss | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Liking It Twisted | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | So Fully Sue | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sign and Seal | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I’m Buzzy | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beautiful Gorgeous | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Pergola | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | La Meca | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fragrant | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ten Twenty One | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Wheredidyougo | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Confessor | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoo Shine | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coal Truth | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Dude | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aspect | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Red Again | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Apricot | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Andrez Conquist | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Xy Speed | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gins and Tins | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Song for Arch | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack the Umpire | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | The Boss Factor | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oxide | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Easy Day | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Baby Boomer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Great Camanoe | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Redeem Eddie | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moniques Daredevil | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truly a Dream | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Tina | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Temper | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Stance | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Survivor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cocktails At Eight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.