Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 12, 2021

September 12, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wild River Wolf 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Speak Unity 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Wheresthepassion 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Ice Dancer 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Cam Woolley 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Perfect Picture 12.00 5 10-1
4 4 Section Ten 12.00 5 10-1
3 3 Candy Magic 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Victory Town 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Karakontie Pat 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 War Court 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Malibu Edge 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sugar Ray 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 More Chances 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Blue Max 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Bodie 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jocassee 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Snow Squall 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 El Valor 2.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Hollywood Ring 8.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Canadian Essence 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Popthechampagne 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 You Thrill Me 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Elfin Forest 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Greyshott 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Tourist’s Dream 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Fire Knight 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Chancel 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Righteous Robbie 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Arafat 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Red Mavrik 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Jackie’s Pride 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 God of Love 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Mentoring 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Spanish Prince 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Victorious Wave 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Hicksy 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Music Hour 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Drop a Caribou 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dragon’s Key 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tara Tattoo 3.50 2.9 6-1
8 8 Spirit Soul Body 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Patio Party 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Incendio 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Strapping 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Hey Mickey 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 My Redemption 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Thelonious 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Perfect Play 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Mambointheforest 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Taos (FR) 6.00 3 6-1
9 8 Peace of Ekati 1.40 3.8 7-1
5 4 Pleasecallmeback 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 English Illusion 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Lil Bit Gangsta 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Doctor Uptown 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 World of Prospects 30.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Artistico 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Toronto Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Riptide Rock 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Gretzky the Great 2.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Barnegat Light 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Lenny K 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Artie’s Storm 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 War Bomber (IRE) 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Azzurro 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Derzkii 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belle Mahone S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Art of Almost 3.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Crystal Glacier 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Skygaze 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 No Mo Lady 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Fate Factor 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Saratoga Vision 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Antigone 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucky Score 3.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Ari Gold Speedwagn 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sandy Bay 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Al Heybay 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Spite Store 4.50 4.5 8-1
1 1 Four Aces High 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Saturday George 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Thor’s Thunder 30.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Our Zuma 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Abbaa 6.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Hitters Park 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Brass Compass 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Hallie’s Hero 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Call Me Wally 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Fast Negotiations 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Pink Lemonade 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Victor’s Destiny 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Weisser 20.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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