September 12, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wild River Wolf | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speak Unity | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wheresthepassion | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ice Dancer | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cam Woolley | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Picture | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Section Ten | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Magic | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Victory Town | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Karakontie Pat | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Court | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Edge | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sugar Ray | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Chances | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Max | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bodie | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jocassee | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snow Squall | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Valor | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hollywood Ring | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Essence | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popthechampagne | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Thrill Me | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elfin Forest | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Greyshott | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tourist’s Dream | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fire Knight | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chancel | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Righteous Robbie | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arafat | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Mavrik | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mad Dog N Joe | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie’s Pride | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | God of Love | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mentoring | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spanish Prince | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victorious Wave | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hicksy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Music Hour | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Drop a Caribou | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dragon’s Key | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tara Tattoo | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit Soul Body | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patio Party | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Incendio | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strapping | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Mickey | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Redemption | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thelonious | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Mambointheforest | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taos (FR) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Peace of Ekati | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | English Illusion | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Uptown | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | World of Prospects | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artistico | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Toronto Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Riptide Rock | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gretzky the Great | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barnegat Light | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lenny K | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Artie’s Storm | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Bomber (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Azzurro | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Derzkii | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belle Mahone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Art of Almost | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crystal Glacier | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skygaze | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No Mo Lady | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fate Factor | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Vision | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Antigone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Score | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ari Gold Speedwagn | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sandy Bay | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Al Heybay | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spite Store | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Four Aces High | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saturday George | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Thor’s Thunder | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Our Zuma | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Abbaa | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hitters Park | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brass Compass | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hallie’s Hero | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Wally | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Negotiations | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pink Lemonade | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victor’s Destiny | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Weisser | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.