September 10, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Capper | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Paint Me Lucky | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Full Draw | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cibertruck | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Achilleus | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Very Irish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Her Perfect Vision | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shemakescents | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spoiled Rotten | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Wildcat | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Preskitt | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Addydidit | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Endless Thirst | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | You’re My Boy Kat | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Toasted At Dawn | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Floyd Knowles | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Renegade | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smoken Shadow | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lookinformischief | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Primed for Drinks | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Red Valor | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alleva | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Defense Wins | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Self Taught | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Snazzy Dresser | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unthrottled | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Owning | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Conquest Cobra | 1.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kenzou’s Rhythm | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robs Lucky Spirit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sayin Grace | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kidmon | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cannes | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Question Authority | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Aadhana | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bright N Sunny | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Double Fantasy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Winter Star | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rattrapante | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Katie’s Paradise | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Brio Is Awesome | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mistaka | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Sonny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mamma Rama | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Roses for Life | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Joe Don Looney | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Claim | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribal War Chant | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Gronk | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silverwind | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Count Tolstoy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Vicious | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Investment Account | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bold Voyager | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sirocco | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongol Altai | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bravestone | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Danza | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marino Heat | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Williams Dream | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.