Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 10, 2021

September 10, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Sadie 1.60 3.4 6-1
14 14 Cidstayinurlaine 1.40 4.1 8-1
4 4 Undercover Outlaw 3.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Miss Yaya 5.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Truly Ambitious 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Pretty Princess 12.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Oh No Its T B 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Drillzilla 15.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Shared Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Triplet 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Shouldaknownbetter 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Senorita Salsa 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Kizzy 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Defendant 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Rain of Blessing 15.00 10.3 20-1
2 2 Awesome Winna 20.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ain’t Wasting Time 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Financial System 1.60 2.8 5-1
3 3 Uncaptured King 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Man of Vision 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Alastor 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Gran Casique 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Benefactor 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fiery Princess 4.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Hy Dollface 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Domineer 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Kozy Dreams 1.60 3.3 6-1
7 7 The Other Cat 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Salsa Rita 20.00 5 10-1
6 6 Tee Up 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Nationalist 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Don’t Get Khozy 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Sky Chaser 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Mizzen 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Starship Mallomar 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Panarea 10.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Witch Hunter 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Palmach 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Ocean Safari 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Keen Contender 5.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Blame the Vets 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Magnolia Road 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dominant Joy 10.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Super Fine 8.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Margeaux Romance 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Queen Macha 15.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Malibu Sky 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Big Tentations 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chrome Racer 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crumb Bun 1.80 2.4 5-1
5 5 Sprout Wings 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Gitana 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Dem a Wonder 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 R Prerogative 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Twirling Star 20.00 5.6 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spinning Kitten 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Rocket Joe Copper 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Sharm El Sheikh 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Devoted Kitten 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Positive Phil 4.50 4.1 8-1
10 10 Everyonelovesjames 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Stunning Baby 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Mr Tito’s 10.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Uhtred 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Unspoiled Moments 50.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dimenna 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Khozy My Boy 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Mystery Mo 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Paladio 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Joshy Jak 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Big Thorn 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Swaggy George 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Boca Guy 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Brody’s Honor 2.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Karenville 2.50 3.2 6-1
11 11 Miranda Sofia 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Blue Eye Kitten 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Flying Black 4.00 4.1 8-1
14 14 Lovin Livin 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sister Is Devil 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 8 Eighty Seven North 12.00 6.4 12-1
10 9 Hardly Social 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Jada’s Kingdom 15.00 8.2 16-1
6 6 Audrey 20.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Tap Tap Birdie 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lunar Blast 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Beyond Heavenly 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
3rd - 13:19
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Final
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Final
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4th - 8:58
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4th - 5:17
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4th - 7:31
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3rd - 6:20
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3rd - 7:43
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2nd - 2:20
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